Ngongole za Macro ku Russia

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Chuma chamadziko

Chuma cha Russia chinabwera ku Coronacrisris chabwino, omwe adalola nthawi yokhazikika popanda mavuto apadera pamlingo wa macro, komanso kupikisana nawo njira zofunika. Nthawi yomweyo, boma la Russia lidagwira ntchito mobwerezabwereza, lomwe lidafotokozedwa mu kuchuluka kwa ndalama zowonjezera. Zotsatira zake, kuchuluka kwa bajeti pazotsatira za 2020 zidakhala zochepa ngati zocheperako ngati zikufanizira ndi mayiko ena. Izi zidatsimikizika ndikuti kuchepa kwa GDP sikunali kuyembekezera, kuphatikizapo chifukwa cha kapangidwe kazinthu zazachuma, zolimba kuposa zoletsa zina) komanso njira yosinthira ku Gyraratine kugwiritsa ntchito zoletsa zokhazikika.

Katundu wautali wowonjezeka kwambiri, koma adakhala pamlingo wotsika kwambiri, ndipo zida za ngongole za Russian Federation zidasungitsa chuma cha chitetezo pakati pa iwo. Mavuto ena ndi kubweza ngongole ya Federation Federation of Russia kokha kumangoyimiriridwa chifukwa cha zolipiritsa (zapamwamba), zosankha zina zenizeni zomwe zingapangitse mbiri ya ngongole zam'tsogolo , bwerani ndi zovuta kwambiri.

Malingaliro a ngongole ku mabungwe onse atatuwa ali pamlingo wogulitsa, kuneneratu kudzakhala kokhazikika. Zowopsa zamisika zokhudzana ndi ntchito ya ku Russian ikuyembekezeka kwambiri. Munthawi yakuthwa kwa zojambula zamsika, ma eurobonds aku Russia adasinthidwa kwambiri kuposa zigawo zina za mayiko apadziko lonse lapansi amsika wa mayiko otukuka.

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Gawo la Corporate

Kuchuluka kwa njira zopatsirana ndi boma kuti athane ndi mavuto a Covid-19 mu 2020 akuti ali pa 3.5-4.5% ya GDP. Mavoliyumuwo ndiofatsa ndi miyezo ya mayiko ena, ndipo thandizo lidayang'aniridwa, koma

Zikuwoneka kuti, inkakwaniritsa zolinga zina.

Kubwezeretsa mitengo kwa mafuta kwakhala ndi vuto pakuwunika mkhalidwe wachuma ndi chuma cha Russia. Chiyembekezo chimalimbikitsa mawonekedwe a katemera angapo kuchokera ku Covid-19.

Chiwopsezo chake chimakhala chotheka kulimbikitsa zipsinjo ku Russia atapambana chipambano cha Demober Joe Bayden mu United States. Komabe, pakukonzekera kwakukulu pamsika, zopangira ziyenera kukhala zofunika kwambiri, zomwe kupsa mtima kwa zoletsa zawo.

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Sonce Fonign metrics

Ma metrict a ku Russia okhala ndi ngongole za ku Russia ngakhale m'mikhalidwe ya cornacispis sachititsa mafunso. Boma la Russia lidagwirizana ndi ndalama zolimba komanso zolimba, ndikusunga madzi owonjezera ku Bankin. Kuphatikiza kotereku sikunaloleunjikira zoopsa zazachilengedwe pachuma, ndipo zida zawo pamkhalidwe panthawi yokhazikika sizinamveke. Ngakhale boma lidayenera kufewetsa mozama maudindo ake, ndikuwonjezera mtengo wa bajeti, ndipo bank yaku Russian Federation ya Russian Federating idachepetsa mphamvu yothamanga, zinthu izi sizikuwoneka ngati Kusintha kwa njira yayikulu ndi ndalama.

Zoneneratu za kusintha kwa metrict metrics: zabwino

• Zotsatira za 2020, kuperewera kwa bajeti ndi kocheperako kuposa mayiko ena otukuka (onani 3)

• Kanyumba katali ndi GDP idayandikira 18% ndiyofunika kwambiri. Gwero lalikulu la ndalama zoperewera - ngongole ya Ruble (ya a zz), ndi mkango womwe uli mu 2020 udawomboledwa ndi anthu. Kuyika kwa ngongole yobwereketsa ngongole ku ndalama zakunja kunali ecsilic.

• Katundu wa ngongoleyo amapitilirabe kufika pakuwonjezereka pakugawana nawo ngongole ruble, gawo lawo lachuluka mpaka 78.3% (cm, 2). Kukula kwa ngongole yokhazikika ndi GDP ili 3.5% yokha - mayiko otsika kwambiri.

• Ndondomeko yolipira ndi yabwino kwambiri, olamulira onse komanso ngakhale ndalama zogwirizanitsa zimakutidwa ndi zosintha zakunja (onani 1)

• Akaunti yapano ya ntchito mu 2020 inachepa, koma chifukwa chachikulu chinali mitengo yotsika ya mafuta ndi ntchito yotsika yomwe ikuyembekezeredwa pansi pa Opera + kuti muchepetse kupanga.

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Banking ndi Corpirate Gawo

• Bank Central of the Russian Federation kuyambira Julayi 2019 idayamba kuchepetsa mtengo wofunikira kuchokera ku 7.75% motsutsana ndi zoopsa zakuchepetsa, ndipo zochitika za kasupe wa chaka chatha zidakakamizidwa kuchita mwamphamvu. Pa msonkhano wa Julayi, kuchuluka kwake kunasinthidwa kukhala 4.25%, pambuyo pake wolembetsa adapumira kumbuyo kwa matikitala ena. Malinga ndi zotsatira za 2020, kuchuluka kwakukulu kunali pansi pa nthawi yoyamba kuyambira 2014 (onani 1).

• PRICT PROCTERS MNENE Kupanga mafakitale okha, monga, ndipo malonda ogulitsa adabwezeretsedwa pang'ono. Komabe, poganizira kuchepetsa kuuma kwa zoletsa, kubwezeretsa pang'onopang'ono kwa ntchito zamabizinesi kumayembekezeredwa (onani 2).

• Chiwerengero cha ngongole zamakampani ku ebitda chili pansipa 1X, zomwe zikuwonetsa kumereka kochepa, ngakhale zina zomwe zimapangidwira mu 2020, ndikukhazikika kwa chiwopsezo chazomwe zili pachiwopsezo cha mavuto akulu Ndi ngongole yonse yonse, chuma chimakhala chotsika (onani 3).

• Gawo la banki limasemphana. Chiwerengero chachikulu champhamvu ndi 12.7% mu Seputembara 2020, yomwe ndi mtengo wabwino kwambiri (kuchuluka kwa Basel-III kumaganiziridwa kukhala 10.5%).

• Mulingo wa ngongole zamavuto a Bankisia akukula ndipo ali pamlingo wa 9.3%, yomwe ndi misika yambiri yamasamba, koma mtengo wotsika kwambiri kwa zaka 5 zapitazi. Kuchuluka kwa malo osungidwa ndi pafupifupi 13.8% ya likulu, komwe kumaphatikizapo kufooketsa kwakukulu pa likulu la mabanki omwe ali ndi ngongole yodwala (onani 4).

Kuneneratu kusintha kwa ma metrics a ngongole mu kampani yamakampani ndi mabanki: khola.

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Werengani nkhani zoyambirira za: kuwononga ndalama.com

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