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Kuyamba kwa 2021 kudapambana makampani ogwira ntchito; Munthawi imeneyi, makampani ogulitsa a benchman m'magulu a Enercy Spdr Spdf (Nyse: Xle) pafupifupi 18%. Nthawi yomweyo, gawo lidali lotalikirapo, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuti ogulitsa pazomwe mungasankhe. Ambiri aiwo akusonyeza kuti etf adzakula pafupifupi 9% ndikufika $ 48.50.
Zochita Zaposachedwa kwambiri chifukwa cha dontho lakuthwa mu dollar yaku US, lomwe lidathandizira mitengo yamafuta (yomwe idakumana ndi 2021 pansipa $ 50 pa mbiya, koma kuyambira pa Mark 53). Komabe, sikofunikira kuphatikiza kupambana kwamitengo yamafuta. Si gawo lomalizali linaseweredwa posintha magazi; Ngakhale "zimbalangondo" zoterezi jp morgan, wokulira Exxon Mobil (Nyse: XOM).
Kuchuluka kwa gawo
Pankhani ya xle etf, zosankha zambiri zidagulidwa ndi kugunda ndi mtengo wa madola 45 ndi tsiku lotha ntchito pa February 19. Pamisonkhano yamalonda 5 yapitayi, chidwi mwa iwo adakula ndi mapangano pafupifupi 52,000. Zambiri zimawonetsa kuti njira zambiri zoyimbira zimagulidwa ndi madola 1.05 pa mgwirizano, i.e., pofika nthawi yomwe atha, etf ayenera kugulitsa pamwamba $ 46.05.
Kuphatikiza apo, ogulitsa ena amagula zosankha ndi gawo la kugunda kwa xle 48 (tsiku lofananalo). Pankhaniyi, "ma collars" omwe adagulidwa pafupifupi masenti 45 a mgwirizano, akungoganiza kuti pofika pakati pa February, etf amapitilira mulingo wa $ 48.45. Chifukwa chake, ophunzira pamsika amayembekeza kukula pafupifupi 9% pa masabata angapo otsatira.
Exxon Homemimusm Othandizira
Kuneneratu zinthu zowoneka bwino kumathandizira magawo oterewa monga Exxon Mobil (omwe mu Okutobala anali kulimbana ndi $ 31.50). Ndipo kukula kwatha kuthamangitsidwa pomwe Jpmorgan kwa nthawi yoyamba zaka zisanu ndi ziwiri adakwezedwa kwa "pamsika" pamsika ", ndi kuchuluka kwa zotetezeka ku $ 56 zomwe zimatanthawuza kukula kwa 11%.
"Kufalikira kwa Boullish" kudawonetsedwa pa tchati cha Exxon, pomwe chikho "chikho chokhala ndi chogwirizira" chidapangidwa pakadali pano. Zimatanthawuza kuwonjezeka kwa magawo kuchokera ku gawo laposachedwa lomwe lili ndi $ 50. Malangizo opanga omwe angathe kukula pafupifupi 9% mpaka $ 54.75. Izi zikugwirizana ndi nsonga yapitayi ya June 8.
Mkhalidwe wachuma ukuyenda bwino
Opaleshoni yowunikiradi yomwe imatsimikizira kuti kuwonjezeka kwa mitengo yamafuta (monga dollar imagwera) ndikubwezeretsa chuma padziko lonse lapansi. Udindo wofunikira umachitika poyembekezera zomwe tikufuna kuti athandizenso zinthu zothandiza kwambiri ndi akuluakulu a US. Izi zidapangitsa kuti kuchuluka kwa ndalama za boma (kuphatikiza mapepala khumi ndi awiri) ndikuchepetsa dollar. Kufooka kwa ndalama za dziko kumapangitsa kuti mafuta am'madzi atheke mpaka pamlingo wa February 2020.
Kufooka kwina kwa dola kungayembekezere kubwezeretsanso kwa dziko lapansi. Zachidziwikire, mu 2021 mphamvu yamagetsi imatha kukumana ndi zinthu zatsopano. Mapeto ake, chaka chathachi chinali chowopsa pamakampaniwo, ngakhale kuti ogulitsa ambiri adasinthiratu magwero amphamvu. Komabe, dziko lapansi silitha kusiya mafuta zakale posachedwapa, zomwe zikutanthauza kuti gawo lingakhalenso lotayika kwa zotayika za 2020.