Bank of Russia idawonetsa msika kuti atsimikizire ndipo kwa nthawi yoyamba kuyambira 2018 idakweza bet - ndi 0,25 peresenti. mpaka 4.5% pachaka. 27 Mwa openda oyankha 28 oyankha anali kuyembekezera Bet, koma kuwononga mitengo yofunika kwambiri kuposa zomwe akuyembekezera, kusungidwa kwamphamvu kwa banki yokakamizidwa kuti ayambe kuyenda ku ndale.
Nthawi zambiri amafunsa akatswiri kuti awone lingaliro la banki yapakati.
Yaroslav Lisovolik, Mutu wa kafukufuku wa Sbercib: Bank Central Bank idachenjezedwa
Kuchulukitsa mitengo yofunika kumawoneka komveka bwino m'mikhalidwe yamtundu wa inflation komanso ina yokhazikika pazambiri muchuma chenicheni. Bank of Central Bank momveka bwino kuti mapulani onjezerani mtengo wofunikira mu chaka chamawa, ndipo kuchuluka kwa mtengo wofunikira kunawonetsedwa kwambiri pamawu amsika. Timakhulupilira kuti ngakhale mutakhalabe zoopsa komanso kuwonongeka kwa zakumbuyo, wogulitsa akhoza kupitiliza kuwonjezera mtengo wofunikira mu kotala.
Wamkulu wachuma Bank Natalia Orlova: Bank Central Bank idakumana ndi vuto lakunja
Bank of Central Bank idayankha chisankho pamsika wakunja kwa mayiko osinthana ndi mayiko omwe akutukuka (Brazil, Turketor) mitengo yamphamvu idabweranso. Tholo yovuta kwambiri ya banki yayikulu imachulukitsa mwayi wowonjezeka pamlingo wapafupi kwambiri. Izi zikunenanso za kuneneratu kwa banki yapakatikati, yomwe mu chandamale mu 4% inflation ibwerera mu theka loyamba la 2022.
Sergey Romank, mutu wa ntchito mu mtengo wa ndalama ndi ndalama za Metallinpint Bat: chidwi chinali pokhapokha zitangopanga
Lingaliro la banki yapakati linathandizira pakadali pano kulimbikitsa kolimbitsa ntchemba, koma ndizosatheka kutchulanso chofunikira. Kwanthawi yayitali, ndinamvetsetsa kuti banki yapakati imayenera kukweza mtengo, chidwi chake chinali pomwe lingachite - pamsonkhano wa March kapena Epulo.
Sindikuganiza kuti m'mawa panali zotayira zilizonse, zomwe zikuwoneka kuti betch ikhoza kuwonjezera Lachisanu ilo, linawonekera dzulo, ndikutsatira kukula kwa chiwongola dzanja cha asz. Kuphatikiza apo, sabata ino imatulukira ku Brazil ndi Turkey Central Central Central. Ndipo, kuwonjezera apo, maluwa maluwa adanenanso kuwonjezeka kwa banki yaku Russia koyambirira kwa sabata, izi zimathandizanso malingaliro ndikukonzekera msika.
Chiyambireni lingaliro la banki yapakati lidakhazikitsidwa kale m'mawu a a lalz ndi zochokera, ndikuganiza kuti patangoyambira kuti chiwonjezerochi sichikhudzidwa ndi ntchitoyo ndipo sichingapangitse kulimbitsa thupi.
Chitsimikizo chachikulu sovkonk
Banki ya Russia yoyembekezeredwa yolimbikitsidwa ndi ndalama zomwe zimakhala ndi ndalama zomwe zimakhala ndi mitengo yokonzekera kuti ipitirize kubwezeretsa kiyi ya 5-6%, kuphatikizapo pamisonkhano yapafupi ndi misonkhano yapafupi.
Tikukhulupirira kuti chaka chino Bank chizikulitsa kubetcha kwa 25 BP, timayembekezera 5% kumapeto kwa chaka. Zikangoyambira, tikuyembekeza kuti chaka chamawa, zolimbitsa ndalama zidzapitilira ndipo mtengo wofunikira ufika pachimake mu 2023 pamlingo wa 6%.
Munthawi ya wozunzidwayo kuchokera mliri, banki ya chapakati imasunga chithandizo cha zomwe akufuna. Chiwerengero choyambirira chidakhala pansi pa magawo ambiri, chomwe chikuwonetsa kufunikira kosangalatsa ndi kukwera kwa ndalama.
Chofunikira kwambiri mopanda kutero chimakhalabe lamulo la makonzedwe a US okhudza Russia. Mu gawo loyamba, sitikuyembekezera kuyamwa kwamphamvu kwamphamvu, koma banki yapakatikati ikhale yokonzeka kuyankha mwachangu chifukwa cha kuwonongeka kwa United States, ndipo chiwongola dzanja chachikulu chimathandizira kuchepetsa kuopsa kwa likulu.
Dmitry Dumpkin, wamkulu wachuma ku Russia ndi Cis: Izi ndikuchita zoopsa
Bank yapakati inaganiza zoyankha ku chiopsezo chaposachedwa kwambiri pamavuto, makamaka zokhudzana ndi misika yapadziko lonse lapansi, malingaliro akunja ndipo mwina amachepetsa ndondomeko yazophatikizira. Tonity sonsity imakhudza kuthekera kwakukulu kwa mitengo ina pamsonkhano wapafupi wa Epulo ndi Julayi. Pankhaniyi, kuwonjezeka kwakukulu sikukadawonekerabe. Kutengera kukwera komwe kumayembekezeredwa, chofunikira kwenikweni tsopano ndi pafupifupi 0,7%, chomwe ndi chapamwamba kuposa ma analogi ndi pafupi ndi 1-2%, pomwe banki yapakati ikuyembekezera kubwera.
Alexander Isikov, wamkulu wachuma "VTB likulu" ku Russia ndi Cis: Kuyerekezera kuyambira 2018
Tinkayembekezera gulu la owongolera ku Central Bank idzatsatira njira za 2018 - kuti ziwonjezeke ndi masitepe 25 bp. Ndikupuma pamsonkhanowu usanabwezeretse kuchuluka kwa zomwe mukufuna. Kuwerengera uku kunanena kuti lingaliro loyambirira likhoza kukhala la Epulo, koma kuzungulira kunayamba tsopano. Tikupitilizabe kuyembekezera kuchuluka kwa 50 BP. Onse a 2021, mongoganiza kuti mitengo ya inflation imakhazikika mpaka kumapeto kwa kotala lachiwiri. Chiwopsezo cha kuneneraku ndichakuti kufalikira kumakhala kosatheka kuposa mu 2018, chiopsezo chachikulu m'mitengo ya chakudya padziko lonse lapansi.