Kugwiritsa Ntchito Peak Anaika mtembowo kuti akatswiri azichita zomwezo zidachitika kale, koma tsopano kwa nthawi yoyamba angafotokozere molimba mtima. "Zachidziwikire pali zodabwitsa, koma sitikuyembekezeranso kubwerera kwa kugwiritsa ntchito mafuta kwa 2019," anamaliza Birol.
Malinga ndi Maa, mu 2020, chifukwa cha Lokdanov nthawi ya mliri, kufunikira kwa mafuta a mafuta atakumana ndi ming'alu miliyoni miliyoni patsiku. Mu 2021, chifukwa cha kubwezeretsa kwa ntchito ya oyendetsa, mea kumayembekezera kukula kwa mbiya pafupifupi 1.7 - pa 2072 - pa mbiya 470,000. Mu 2026, kugwiritsa ntchito mafuta miliyoni 25,9 kokha migolo - iyi ndi mitsuko 690,000 patsiku pansipa 2019.
Malinga ndi birol, dontho lofunikira kwambiri pogwiritsidwa ntchito kumayiko otukuka, pomwe pakufunika kukulira kudzakula, ngakhale pang'ono.
Ku Russia, kupanga mafuta mu 2020 kunagwera pafupifupi 5% mpaka 38.4 matani, amatsatira kuchokera ku data ya Unduna wa Mphamvu. Koma ogwira ntchito zamafuta mbiriyakale amatumiza makina ochepa ochepa, makamaka amapereka mafuta pamsika wapabanja. Zowona, mu 2020, malinga ndi fcs, kunja kwake kumakula ndi 12,4% pafupifupi matani 6 miliyoni.
M'tsogolomu, adakonzekera kuwonjezera kunja kwa autobanzanzin kuchokera ku Russia, koma ngakhale zigawo zazing'onoting'ono, pafupifupi matani mamiliyoni a dizilo, amatero wamkulu wachuma kuwunika Sergey Ezhov. Kutumiza kunja kwa Russia kudzatha kukonzanso autobanzine kumisika ya Asia ndi Africa, komwe amamwa kwambiri, katswiri amakhulupirira. Monga yankho ku vutoli, makampani ambiri amalingaliranso za kusinthaku kwa zinthu: zimatha kusinthana mwamphamvu popanga autobanzanchin kuti apange zikwangwani za petrochem, zimauza misozi.
Mabatire m'malo mwa mafutaCholinga cha momwe zinthu ziliri pamsika wapadziko lonse lapansi wa mafuta ndi kukula kwa magalimoto opatsirana, amafotokoza za Mea. Malinga ndi bloomberg yatsopano, kugulitsa magalimoto magetsi kumakula m'zaka zisanu zotsatira mpaka 8.5 miliyoni mu 2025, kusokoneza kwa anthu 1226, komanso kuchuluka kwa magalimoto amagetsi. Izi zidzapangitsa kuti pakhale kuchepa kwa dziko lapansi kwa mafuta, pafupifupi theka lomwe limakonzedwa kuti azithamangira pamsewu, ndi michere miliyoni 1 patsiku: chifukwa chazomwe zimachitika pamagalimoto ambiri: chifukwa cha mabasi amagetsi mu 2026, The Kufunika kwa mbiya 700,000 mimbulu imatha ndi 300 000 - dizilo.
"M'zaka zinayi zotsatira, tiona kusintha kotereku pamsika wamagetsi, zomwe sizinawoneke pazaka 20 zapitazi," Purezidenti ndi Ceo wa sayansi ya US Science ndi Sufufute Mansur.
Mayiko ambiri akhazikitsa malo opumira kuti asiye kugulitsa magalimoto ndi injini zapakatikati (ma DV). Chifukwa chake, ku Norway, abwera mu 2025 (mu Seputembara chaka chatha, 61.5% ya magalimoto atsopano), mu 2035, ku France - mu 2040 ku California, komwe ndi Msika Wamtundu Wamgalimoto (Wogulitsa pachaka) Magalimoto a pachaka, pafupifupi 10% ya Kufunsira Mafuta M'dzikoli), Kuletsedwa Kumakhala Kukakamira mu 2035 Mu boma ndi osakwana 10,500 (mwa awa, 8270), ndiye kuti ndi malo osungira magetsi, pafupifupi 32,000 (tsiku lotsatira la New York - pafupifupi 6,000, malinga ndi mipata ya mphamvu yaku US).
Zoposa theka la magalimoto amagetsi mu 2026 zidzayenda m'misewu ya China, pafupifupi kotala - ku Europe, ena onse - ku Japan, ku United States ndi mayiko ena, akuneneratu za Mea.
Zofunikira za maboma ndi ogula zimalimbikitsidwa ndi autocompany. General Motors adalonjeza ponena za 2035 kuti asiye kulola magalimoto okwera ndi ma DV, Volvo adapereka cholinga cha 2030 malinga ndi zomwe zalembedwazo ndi zida za m'magazini ya European Union (pafupifupi kasanu kwambiri, kuposa mu 2019). Mapulani a Volkswagen kuti pofika 2030, pansi pa vw bran ku Europe, padzakhala 70% ya malonda ku Europe, komanso ku USA ndi China - kuposa 50%. Pachifukwa ichi, vw akufuna kupanga mabatire asanu ndi limodzi ku Europe ndi kasanu mpaka 20,000 mpaka 2025. Chiwerengero cha malo ogwirizanitsa amphamvu ku Europe (Adzakhala ku BP Stations).
Mafuta ambiri, pokonza pang'onoChifukwa cha kuchepa kwa pofunafuna mafuta m'zaka zikubwerazi, funde lachitatu la kutsekedwa mbewu limadutsa, limathandizira iea. Ndikofunikira kuchotsa mphamvu zomwe zimapanga migolo 6 miliyoni patsiku, pokhapokha ngati izi zimatalika mpaka 80% ndipo ntchito yawo idzayamba kugwira ntchito mogwira mtima, kufotokozedwanso pamsika wamafuta a Torist Bosni. Makampani alengeza kale mapulani otsetsa kuchuluka kwa mimbulu ya 3.6 miliyoni patsiku.
Kutsindika koyambirira kwa gawo loyeretsa mafuta kumachitika m'ma 1980s, pomwe mphamvu idatsekedwa ndi migolo 12 miliyoni yamafuta patsiku, ndipo kumayambiriro kwa 2010. Mimba ina 7 miliyoni idasiyidwa pamsika.
Koma, ngati maboma sangalimbikitse ndondomeko yosinthana ndi chuma chotsika kaboni, kufesa sikuyembekezera kuti chisungiko chamafuta ofunidwa zaka zapitazi, atero Birol. "Ndikudziwa kuti atsogoleri ambiri ogulitsa posachedwapa adanena kuti nsonga za kugwiritsa ntchito zidadutsa, koma sitiganiza," adatero. M'malo mwake, malinga ndi zomwe akuneneratu, mpaka kumapeto kwa 2026, kufunikira kwa mafuta kumamera pachaka komanso poyerekeza ndi 2020 g. miliyoni miliyoni pa doko (miliyoni miliyoni) ) Kufuna kumabweranso mu 2023
Nthawi yomweyo, wogulitsa wamkulu wamafuta mdziko lonse lapansi adzasinthidwa, IEA akuyembekeza. Ngati mu 2017-2019 United States idakhutitsidwa pafupifupi nthawi yonse yowonjezereka, yomwe inali mbiya pafupifupi 4 miliyoni patsiku, kuphatikizapo Saudi Arabia, Iraq Emirates, adauza Birol. Chotsani ku United States mu 2026 chidzakula ndi michere miliyoni pafupifupi 2520 poyerekeza ndi 2020, ndipo m'maiko atatu omwe adatchulidwa, nthiti miliyoni, iea.
Koma, ngati maboma ndi bizinesi adzayesetsa kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwa kutentha kwadziko lapansi, ngakhale ndi 2 °, ndi 1.5 ° (mtundu wa mafuta amatha kugwera, akatswiri ya Age Entry Intercy Ganizirani pamagetsi osinthanso (Irena). Nawonso, 85% migolo pa 11 miliyoni patsiku lofika 2050, anati Lachiwiri bungwe la bungwe la mayiko 163.
Matekinoloje a kusintha kwachuma chotere ku chuma choyera kale, koma kuonetsetsa kusintha kwabwino, ndikofunikira kuti muwonjezere ndalama - mpaka $ 1.4 Trillion pachaka, malinga ndi Irena. Izi ndi zochulukirapo kuposa mu 2019. "Kuti mukwaniritse kusintha kwakukulu, muyenera kufulumizitsa kusinthira mphamvu," adatero Francessas, CEO wa Irena.