Pa february 11-12, misonkhano ya anthu yoyang'anira anthu ambiri idachitika. Mfundoyo inali yokambirana ndi anthu kumbuyo kwa zovuta zandale ndikuwonetsa mayendedwe osintha chifukwa chogonjetsa. Makamaka, moscow adamuyesa ngati gawo limodzi mwa njira yoyambitsidwa ndi miniti yosinthira kwa Constitution. Mapeto ake, ophunzirawo a VIN ndi momwe magulu omwe adalipo amathandizira ndondomeko ya Belarus, woyang'anira malo osungirako anthu akunja, wofufuza, dzina la National Academy of Sayansi , Denis Bukonkin.
Zomwe zanenedwa pa VNS
Pa February 12, msonkhano wa anthu onse-a Belaruusia (VN) adamalizidwa, omwe adafotokozedwa ndi akuluakulu a Belarus monga fomu yayikulu kwambiri ya anthu pazaka 5 zapitazi. Ma forum awa atenga kuchuluka kwakukulu kwa nthumwi zochokera kumadera osiyanasiyana. Koma njira yosankhidwayo ikusonyeza kuti chochitikachi chidasankhidwa kukhala ambiri mwamphamvu kwambiri mwa ulamuliro wokhulupirika wa anthu.Mphuluyo idalinganiza kukambirana gawo ndi malingaliro a miniti yovomerezeka, yomwe kumayambiriro kwa chochitikacho sinalephere kufotokozeranso Purezidenti wa Belarus Alexander Lulasnko Alexander Lukashenko. Pankhani imeneyi, zosangalatsa komanso zosathandiza zinali zolankhula za oyimira boma lapano.
Tsoka ilo, pa VN, kusintha kwa dongosolo la Constitution yomwe olamulira sanatumizidwe kwa olamulira, omwe ayenera kukhala njira yoyambira voti pa referendum. Lukashenko amadzichepetsera yekha panthawi yolonjezedwayo kuti aperekenso maulamulirowo ndikukonzekera mtundu wa ma Constitution mpaka kumapeto kwa lamulo lalikulu la dziko lino lidzatha kale kuposa Kumayambiriro kwa 2022, kenako, ngati zikugwirizana ndi zisankho zakomweko mu Januware. Nthawi yomweyo, Purezidenti adauzidwa kuti Belaruus ukhalabe Purezidenti wa Purezidenti. Nthawi yomweyo, amayembekezeredwa kukhala lingaliro kuti aziphatikiza zomwe zimapangidwira ngati mawonekedwe apamwamba kwambiri amtundu wapadziko lonse. Koma zokhumba izi za Congress za Congress zizikhalabe zokhumba mpaka zitseko zoyenera zimaperekedwa ku mtundu watsopano wa Constitution.
Chifukwa chake, chofunikira kwambiri chinali machitidwe a Purezidenti, mtumiki wachilendo wa Vladimir Frowya, atsogoleri a KGB Ivan. Kuphatikiza apo, panali malo komanso mawu osayembekezeka omwe Anna Kanopatskaya, amene sanaphatikizidwe muwoloza.
Kutumiza mphamvu ndi kuchuluka kwambiri
Kuchokera pa Purezidenti, zinali zotheka kudziwa kuti mayendedwe awo mu Belarus akadali. Nthawi yomweyo, imodzi mwazomwe zimakhalira zimakhala zoikidwiratu za othandizira a Lukashenko pamwambowu kuti magulu ena andale amabwera ku mphamvu. Payokha, mutu wa boma adayang'ana pakukonza kwa adondomeko ya a Belarusian, yomwe, komabe, yasintha kwambiri.
Chifukwa chake, zimadziwika kuti Belarisans "ndi okonzeka kwambiri kumanga maubale ndi mayiko ndi mgwirizano womwe uli pamaziko a mfundo za kulingalira, kulemekezana, kusayanjana mkati." Malinga ndi Purezidenti, amachititsanso chidwi ndi "zingwe zosiyanasiyana ndi zakunja, zoyambirira zachuma." Nthawi yomweyo, maubale omwe ali ndi Europe ndiofunika, yemwe Belari anali kumalire komanso malire apamwamba kwambiri komanso chikhalidwe chachuma, chilengedwe. Verctor yofunika kwambiri yokhudza zokambirana za belarusi ndi mayiko omwe amatchedwa "arc yayitali", pomwe malo ofunikira "ali pafupi, ngakhale anali ochezeka, komanso ochezeka" China. Nthawi yomweyo, mnzanu wachuma ndi mnzake mnzake wa payekha "anali" Russia.
Mafunso
Ubale ndi Russia nthawi zambiri ankadzipereka ku gawo la Lukashenko. Makamaka, kufunikira kwapadera kwa ubale wa belarus-Russia kudera lonse, kuteteza kukhazikika kwa bata ndi mtendere momwemo. Zikuwonetsa kuti Berulas imalimbikitsidwa ndipo imachita kuti ikhale yophatikiza zachuma mu malo osungirako Soviet ndi mitundu yambiri.Nthawi yomweyo, zimadziwika kuti mgwirizano wa Belarus ndi Russia kuchokera ku mgwirizano wa Eaeu ndi Cis amasiyanitsidwa ndi kuphatikizika kwa ndale ndi chitetezo. Ndipo tsopano, malingana kafukufuku waposachedwa, oposa 70% a Belanduans akufanana ndi Russia.
Nthawi yomweyo, zimatsimikizidwa kuti ziwalo zomwe zapangidwa mkati mwa nkhondoyi sizinathetse kusunga kwawo, motero akadali oyambirira kuti asinthe pazomwe zasintha.
Mu lipoti lake, mutu wa boma unakhudza mutu wogwirizana wachuma mkati mwa Eaeu, poona kufunika kokwaniritsa zotsatira za synergist zotsatira kuchokera kupangidwe kwa msika wamba. Pazokhutira za Belarus - kulengedwa kwa mgwirizano wachuma wambiri wa m'nkhalangowu: Msika wamba ndi umagwirizanitsa chuma chachuma cha maphwando a States. Kenako EaEU idzakhala yokongola kwa okwatirana ena, osati m'malo osungirako soviet. " Zinali zotsatilatu kuti mwayi wapa mpando wa Belarisian wa Eap unkakhala 2020, ndipo mzerewu cholingalira kupitiliza mtsogolo.
Ponena za Commomewealth yodziyimira pawokha, malingana malinga ndi mutu wa boma, ngakhale ali ndi malingaliro ovuta, amasunganika kwathunthu kukhala bungwe lakale. "Chofunika kwambiri ku Belaus mu Commonwealth Slomwealy sichisintha - kupanga mayanjano monga njira yolumikizirana kwambiri," adatero Lukashenko. Wapampando wa Belarus mu CIS amatumizidwa kuti akwaniritse cholinga ichi mu 2021
Malinga ndi Purezidenti, mgwirizano wankhondo ndi ukadaulo wa ukadaulo ndi Russia ndi mayiko ena a Con Goll adzapitiriza. Nthawi yomweyo, min yakaleyi idzalimbitsa chitetezo chamdziko lapansi kusintha kwa zochitika zandale ku Europe ku Europe.
Lukashenko anagogomezera kuti ku Poland, mayiko a Baltic pofika magulu a Nato, pali zochitika zambiri zankhondo zomwe zimachitika madera ambiri ankhondo ochokera ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe ku Europe. Masabata angapo apitawa ku Poland adachititsa masewera olimbitsa thupi ozizira, pomwe nkhondo zapatsogolo zankhondo zankhondo za Russia ndi Belaus zimayesedwa pamakompyuta.
"Kugwiritsa ntchito ziphunzitso izi ndi Holt, komwe kunalimbikitsa ku Poland, kumalimbikitsa mashopu owonjezera chifukwa cha gulu lawo lankhondo ku Poland ndi atops," adatero mtsogoleri wa Chi Belarusian. Monga yankho, kulumikizana "kumadzulo 2021" timaganiziridwa. Adalengeza za kusintha kwa lingaliro la chitetezo cha dziko lonse.
Kutumiza kunja ndi kudziletsa
Mawu a Mutu wa Unduna wakunja wa Donya, omwe adanena kuti achotse zomwe sizimalowerera ndale, sizinali zosangalatsa. Izi zikutanthauza kukana njira zingapo zomwe ziyenera kuti zidatembenuza Belaus m'gulu la European Europe ku Austria, Switzerland kapena Finland. Mtumiki nawonso amakhulupiriranso kuti m'makono ndikofunikira kusintha njira yotumizira yotumiyizira malinga ndi mfundo yachitatu - yachitatu, pomwe zinthu zitatuzo zimagwera ku Russia, European Union of the Wavel. Malingaliro ake, ndikofunikira kuyang'ana kwambiri theka la malonda omwe ali m'misika ya EEEU, ndipo theka lotsala linagawanika chimodzimodzi pakati pa EU ndi mayiko a Arc. Nthawi yomweyo, maay amalimbikitsa kutetezedwa kwa magawo angapo monga maziko oyambira ndondomeko yakunja ya dzikolo.
Payokha, ndikofunikira kutembenuza kuyankhula kwa woyimbayo, komwe monga mutu wa ntchito zazikuluzikulu zadzikoli zalengeza kuti kuli zigawenga zomwe cholinga chake ndi ntchito yoyeserera magawo angapo ku Belarus. Chifukwa chake, posachedwa titha kuyembekezeredwa kuti milandu yatsopano idzayambitsidwa motsutsana ndi otsutsa pachiwopsezo. Ndikotheka kuti ntchitoyi isawazire fumbi la anthu abwerera ku chiwonetsero cha maphwando a 2021 nthawi yomweyo, atapatsidwa ntchito ya njira zingapo za telegraph, ndizotheka kuti ntchitoyi idzagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati Zidziwitso za info polimbikitsa zidziwitso za "ntchentche yosinthira" ndipo mukufunikira njira yowonjezera.
Magwiridwe antchito a alendo ena komanso ziganizo
Pakati pa zolankhula za nthumwi zina, chidwi cha Yuri vosresensy adakopa chidwi chopanda chidwi. Amayezedwa kuti apereke mwayi kwa akaidi onse omwe alapa. Komabe, kuona za kulapa, mwachiwonekere, kumatanthauza kukondweretsa Purezidenti ndi pempho la kukhululuka, ndipo chiletso chenicheni pazandale zilizonse mdzikolo. Kuphatikiza apo, akufunsidwa kuti atchule mabwalo amodzi omwe amalemekeza Russia, motero amayamikira chopereka chake pakusungidwa ndi kudziyimira pawokha kwa Belawa.
M'maganyu ena onse, nthumwi sizinali zokhala pachibwenzi, ndipo makamaka wokhulupirika mogwirizana ndi mphamvu zapano ndipo amayang'ana kale lingaliro lomwe lingachitike kale, kapena malingaliro a wokamba nkhani sanali wovomerezeka ndi mkuluyo udindo.
Uwu ukhoza kukhala chiwopsezo chachikulu kwa minkk yovomerezeka, chifukwa izi zitha kukhala ndi malingaliro osawoneka bwino m'malo ena kapena zina, kapena kusagwirizana pagulu lazomwe zimathandizirani. Pakadali pano, ma poputa ambiri, m'malo mwake, akuwonetsa magawano ofunikira kwambiri a Society ndi polarization yake. Umboni wa izi ukhoza kutumikira, kuphatikiza kuti, malinga ndi kafukufuku yemwe adalamulidwa ku VN, osakwana theka la anthu akuthandizira pandunayo.
Kusapezeka kwa zokambirana ndi mikangano ingachite motsitsimula mphamvu, koma osawonetsa mtundu weniweni wamavuto ena padera la Belarusia. Mwambiri, VN inakwaniritsa ntchito yake ndipo inayankha mozama zochita zakunja. Ndiye chifukwa chake, mwachiwonekere, EU Anakwanitsa kunena kuti saganizira za msonkhano monga thupi ndi mayankho ake alibe mphamvu ndi zachikale.
Kumbali inayi, kutanthauzira kwa Ans sikovomerezeka kuti aphedwe, ndipo msonkhano pawokha ulibe malamulo pakadali pano. Chifukwa chake, kuyembekezera kusintha kwakukulu kwa zotsatira zake mwina kumakhala kosangalatsa kwambiri.
Denis BhanKIN, wofufuza ku mbiri yakale ya National Academy of Belarus, mkulu wa mfundo zapagulu "