Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha

Anonim

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_1

Tattalin arzikin ƙasa

Tattalin arzikin Rasha ya zo ga mronacriis a cikin kyakkyawan tsari, wanda ya ba da izinin lokacin ƙira a matakin Macro, da kuma kuɗin da suka wajaba da suka wajaba. A lokaci guda, gwamnatin Rasha ta yi aiki sosai, wacce aka bayyana a cikin matsanancin adadin ƙarin kashe kudi. A sakamakon haka, kasawar kasafin kudi a sakamakon 2020 ya juya ya zama ƙarami idan idan aka kwatanta da sauran ƙasashe. Wannan kuma ya sauƙaƙa wannan matakin a GDP ba zato ba tsammani ne, gami da saboda halayyar bangaren kasashen ta Rasha, sun fi kowane irin ƙuntatawa na sabis, da sauƙin daidaitawa) amfani da ƙuntatawa keɓe ƙuntatawa.

Dogon nauyin ya karu sosai, amma ya kasance a wani matakin karancin aiki, da kuma kayan aikin bashin kungiyar Tarayyar Rasha na riƙe matsayin kadarar kadara a tsakaninta. Wasu matsaloli tare da yin aiki ko raya bashin da aka samu na Rasha za a iya wakilta ne kawai yayin da aka yanke hukuncin fasahar fasaha ta (manyan takunkumi na ci gaba da ke faruwa a kan bashin Rasha a cikin makomar kasar , zo da wuya.

Ratings bashi daga dukkan hukumomin kasa da kasa sun kasance a matakin saka hannun jari, hasashen ya tabbata. Hoss hatsarin da ke hade da aikin Rasha na Rasha a matsayin ƙasa sosai. A cikin kaifi mai kaifin kasa, an daidaita Euro na Rasha fiye da sauran bangarorin kasuwar duniya na kasashen waje na ci gaba.

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_2

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_3

Sashen kamfanoni

Jimlar adadin matakan kasafin kudi da gwamnati za ta sanya tasirin cutar COVID-19 a 2020 an kiyasta a GDP 3.5-4.5% na GDP. Rukunin sun kasance masu tsari ne da ƙa'idodin wasu ƙasashe, da kuma an yi niyya ne na goyon baya, amma

A bayyane yake, ya isa wasu takamaiman dalilai.

Maidowa farashin mai ya sami tasiri mai kyau game da kimanta yanayin tattalin arziƙin tattalin arziƙi da dukiyar Rasha. Yanayi ya sa bayyanar da rigakafin da yawa daga CoviD-19.

Wani takaddama na yau da kullun yana yiwuwa don ƙarfafa matsin lamba game da Rasha bayan nasarar Democrat Joe Bayden a zaben shugaban kasa a Amurka. Koyaya, don babban dauki a kasuwa, takunkumi ya kamata ya zama mai mahimmanci, wanda ya wuce tsarin ƙuntatawa na mutum.

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_4

SOVERETLEGETRETREGER

Rasha severign bashi awo har ma a cikin yanayin moronacrisis ba sa haifar da wasu tambayoyi. Gwamnatin Rasha ta yi magana da kasafin kudi na kasafin kuɗi, yayin da ke riƙe da wuce haddi mai ruwa a tsarin banki. Irin wannan hade ba ya ba da izinin tara haɗarin tsare-tsaren a cikin tattalin arziƙi, da kuma tasirinsu game da halin da ake ciki a lokacin ƙuntatawa keɓe ƙuntatawa ba. Duk da cewa dole ne gwamnati ta yi taushi sosai, ya kara farashin kasafin kudin, kuma Babban bankin Rasha sun ragu da shi a matakin karfafa, ba a daukar wadannan matakan a matsayin canji a cikin babban tsarin zuwa kasafin kudi da manufofin kuɗi.

Hasashen canji na ma'aunin kuɗi na SOVEREGH: tabbatacce

• Sakamakon 2020, kasawar kasafin kudi tana da matukar sauki fiye da sauran ƙasashe masu tasowa (duba 3)

• Dogon nauyi dangane da GDP ya matso kusa da 18% ya kasance mai ƙarancin daraja. Babban tushen kudade na rashin kudi - bashin bashin da aka samu (ONZ), da kuma zaki na zagaye a 2020 ya fanshe su. Wurin da bashin bashin Sultanci a cikin kudin kasashen waje shine Episodic.

Tsarin bashi na bashi ya ci gaba da canzawa zuwa karuwa a cikin rabo daga roble lamunin, rabon su ya karu zuwa 78.3, 2). Girman kuɗin kuɗi na Sulemanu da GDP ne kawai 3.5% - ƙananan matakan ƙasashe masu tasowa.

• Jadawalin biyan kuɗi yana da matuƙar kwanciyar hankali, duk mai yiwuwa ne kuma har ma da wajibcin kuɗin kamfanoni ana rufe su da ajiyar kamfanoni (duba 1)

• Asusun ayyukan na yanzu a cikin 2020 ya ragu, amma babban dalilin shi ne karancin farashin mai da wajibai waɗanda aka ɗauka a ƙarƙashin OPEC + don rage samarwa.

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_5

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_6

Banki da bangaren kamfanoni

• Bankin tsakiya na Tarayyar Rasha tun daga Yuli 2019 ya fara rage yawan maballin daga 7.75% a kan asalin rage hadarin hauhawar farashin haihuwa, da kuma abubuwan bazara na shekarar da ta gabata sun tilasta wajan aiki da karfi. A taron Yuli, an rage maɓallin maɓallin zuwa 4.25%, bayan wanda Mai ƙididdigewa ya ɗan dakatarwa da bango na hauhawar farashin kaya. Dangane da sakamakon 2020, ƙimar maɓallin tana ƙasa da hauhawar farashin kaya a karon farko tun daga shekara ta 2014 (duba 1).

• Index masana'antar sarrafa masana'antu na PMI ya ɗan ɗan ƙasa da maki 50, kimanin akwai, inda ya kasance a gaban coronatisis. Kayan masana'antu da kansa, kamar yadda, duk da haka, da kuma siyar da siyar da siyar da siyarwa ne kawai a wani bangare. Koyaya, yin la'akari da rage girman ƙuntatawa na ƙuntatawa, ana sa ran maido da ayyukan a hankali (duba 2).

• Rawan ragamar kamfanonin da EBitda yana ƙasa da 1x, wanda ke nuna ƙarancin ɓangaren bashin da ci gaban banki da yanayin ci gaban da ake ciki Tare da bashi a matsayin duka, tattalin arziƙin ya kasance ƙasa (duba 3).

• Sashen banki yana daɗaɗa yawa. Babban birnin samar da kadari na 12.7% a watan Satumba 2020, wanda shine darajar mai dadi (ƙaramar ƙimar Basel-III).

• Matsalar lamuni na matsalar na banki na Rasha na girma kuma yana kan matakin 9.3%, wanda shine babban matakin da ya fito na shekaru 5 da suka gabata. Yawan ajiyar kaya kusan 13.8% na babban tasiri, wanda ya shafi iyakantaccen tasiri mai kyau akan babban birnin bankunan tare da mahimmin rubuce-tashena da bashi (duba 4).

Hasashen canje-canje a cikin awo na kuɗi a cikin kamfanoni da banki: barga.

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_7

Binciken Kudi Macro a Rasha 9129_8

Karanta abubuwan asali na asali akan: zuba jari.com

Kara karantawa