Babban manufofin tattalin arziki, yana ƙarfafa ci gaban tattalin arziki, siyasa ce. Tare da taimakon ƙididdigar farashin da aka sanya, kuɗin kuɗin da ake amfani da kuɗin ƙasa na kadai na ƙasa. Tattalin arzikin Amurka ya nuna wani aiki na yau da kullun: yawan amfani da samarwa; Babban rashin aikin yi; Low farashin hauhawar hauhawar farashin kaya. A wannan batun, an tilasta wa Tarayyar Tarayyar Amurka don rage yawan kudaden da za su cimma matakin da ke haifar da hauhawar farashin kaya. A karo na ƙarshe da tsarin ajiyar Amurka ya fara rage yawan nakasassu daga Yuli20 zuwa Maris 2020, wanda ya yuwu in ƙara yawan kuɗin da ke ƙasa da darajar ƙasa ta Amurka. Aikin tattalin arziki ya fara murmurewa, amma ba kyau kamar yadda yake so ba (Hoto 1).
Adadin kuɗi don tallafin tarayya na Tarayyar Amurka shine matsakaita mai nauyin dukiyar da mai ba da bashi da Bankin Craftis. Kudin amfani da aka yi amfani da shi a cikin ayyukan tsakanin membobin tsarin Reserve na Amurka. Adadin kuɗi don tallafin tarayya na Tarayyar Turai ya kamata ya dace da ƙuduri na kudade, wanda Kwamitin Tarayya ya ƙaddara shi a bude tsarin ajiyar na Tarayyar Amurka. An cimma darajar farashin da aka samu tare da taimakon Ayyuka a Kasuwa ta Buudewa: Sayen haɗin gwiwar gwamnati yana ƙara yawan kuɗin da ke rage farashin kuɗi. Sayar da shaidu na Gwamnati suna rage wadatar kuɗi kuma ta haifar da fare. A wannan batun, ya zama dole a yi la'akari da darajar kuɗi a Amurka (Hoto na 2).
Naúrar M2 na kuɗi ne na kuɗi na kuɗi (agogo da bincika adibobi - M1), adon adibas, ƙananan adibas da kuɗaɗen kuɗi na kasuwar kuɗi. Matsakaicin M2 Monety yana nuna kuɗi a cikin babban hankali kuma ba shi da ruwa na samar da kuɗi. Inganta ayyukan tattalin arziki a Amurka sakamakon rikicin tattalin arziki ta hanyar samar da kudi ta hanyar samar da kudi da kuma bangaren aikinta na M2. Don haka, yanke shawara na ƙarshe na tsarin Reserveer na Tarayyar Amurka shine a rage kuma yana riƙe da ƙimar ƙimar kuɗi, wanda ke buƙatar siyan amintattun kuɗi da keɓance kuɗin kuɗin (M2 Monetaly naúrar) (Hoto na 3) .
Tsarin muminai na MONEEL ya riƙe tsarin ajiyar na Amurka ya ƙunshi raunin dalar Amurka. Don tabbatar da abin da aka ambata, yana da kyau a bincika haɗin darajar ƙasa ta dala da kuma yawan kuɗin tsarin Reserin Amurka. An tabbatar da daidaituwa-juyin juya hali tsakanin index na Amurka (y, sakin layi) da kuma yawan kudin Tarayyar Amurka (X,%) na dogon lokaci, har da Disamba 1921 - Janairu 202 - 121 - Janairu, wanda ke nuna alaƙar ci gaba alamomin manufofin monetic. An gina lissafin lambobi biyu na layi: Y = 88,12 + 1,2199 ∙ x. Ka'idodin Corelation RXY = 0.315 ingantaccen haɗin kai ne. Elast Istity Coinepent Exy = 0.045 - low elasticity na Abubuwa. Kuskuren kuskure A = 8.6% - a cikin kewayon al'ada. Maƙƙarfan FFASS FFAm = 46.1 More ftab = 3.86 - daidaituwa a matsayin duka yana da mahimmanci (Table 1).
Yana kuma da kyau a bincika haɗin ƙimar ƙasa na dalar Amurka da kuma ingantaccen kuɗi don tallafin tarayya na Tarayya ta Amurka. An tabbatar da daidaitaccen daidaituwa tsakanin index na Amurka (y, abubuwa) da kyakkyawar tayin don taimakon kudaden Tarayya na Tarayyar Amurka (X, sha'awa ta shekara) don tazara lokacin Disamba 1985 - Disamba 200. An gina lissafin biyu na daidaitawa: Y = 88,11 + 1.2218 ∙ x. Ka'idodin Corelation RXY = 0.315 ingantaccen haɗin kai ne. Elast Istity Coinepent Exy = 0.045 - low elasticity na Abubuwa. Kuskuren kuskure A = 8.6% - a cikin kewayon al'ada. Halin FFAms FFaction = 46.0 ya fi FTab = 3.86 - daidaito gaba ɗaya (Table 2).
Hakanan yana da kyau a bincika haɗin darajar kasa da dalar Amurka da na Mon kuɗi a Amurka yayin lokacin. A lokacin Disamba 1985 - 2020 - 2020, dangantakar dangantaka tsakanin index ta Amurka da tara ta Monety a Amurka: daidaitaccen tsari shine rxy = -0.17.1788. A wannan batun, akwai buƙatar bincika haɗin ƙimar ƙimar ƙasa ta dala da kuma tara kuɗi a Amurka don ranar tarayya ta Tarayya ta Tarayya Tsarin ajiyar. Dangantakar rikitarwa tsakaninta tsakanin index na Amurka (y, sakin layi) da tara kuɗi na M2 a Amurka (X, biliyan biliyan biliyan biyu) aka kafa. Hukumar da aka haɗa ta reitar da aka haɗa ta hanyar juyar da aka haɗa: Y = 118.68-0.0013 ∙ x x. RXY = -0,774 daidaitaccen haɗin haɗin haɗin gwiwa ne. Elimation Quarfin Cikakken Furanci = -0.234 wani rauni ne mai rauni na dalilai. Kuskuren kuskure A = 1.4% - a cikin al'ada iyaka. Huldar Fisher Ffact = 23.8 ya fi FTab = 4.49 - daidaituwa gabaɗaya ce (Table 3).
Don haka, a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, haɗin da ke tsakanin zayyanonin dala dala da alamomin manufofin kuɗi na tsarin Reserve na Amurka ya nuna haske. Saboda haka, yayin tsawan lokaci na ɗan gajeren lokacin 2019 - Janairu 2021, daidaituwa da kuma dangantaka mai rikitarwa tsakanin index na Amurka (y, sakin layi na Tarayya na Amurka (X,%) an kafa su. An gina daidaiton daidaitawa biyu: Y = 93.52 + 2.3843 ∙ x x x. Matsakaicin daidaitawa shine rxy = 0.635 - ƙaƙƙarfan haɗi mai ƙarfi. Elast Iskar-fadakarwa Exy = 0.025 yana da rauni elasticity na Abubuwa. Kuskuren kuskure A = 1.8% - a cikin al'ada iyaka. Maƙasudin FFAs na FFAm = 11.5 ƙarin ftab = 4.45 - daidaituwa a duk da duka yana da mahimmanci (Table 4).
A lokacin ɗan gajeren lokacin 2019 - 2020, haɗin darajar kasa da dala ta Amurka da kuma ingancin kudi don tallafin tarayya na Tarayya ta Amurka aka yi nazari. An tabbatar da daidaitaccen tsarin rikice-rikice tsakanin index na Amurka (y, sakin layi) da ingantaccen tayin don tallafin tarayya na Tarayya (X, sha'awa ta shekara). An gina lissafin biyu na layi na layi: Y = 93.99 + 2,1315 ∙ x. Corarancin daidaitaccen rxy = 0,615 kyakkyawar haɗi ne mai kyau. Lalacewar Cikakken Cikakken Fury = 0.023 mummunan abu ne na dalilai. Kuskuren kuskure A = 1.8% - a cikin al'ada iyaka. Halin FFAms FFaction = 9.8 ya fi FTab = 4.49 - daidaituwa gabaɗaya ce (tebur 5).
Tsarin tururi mai ƙididdigar juyi na riƙewa na kudaden da aka bayar na tsarin Reservealungiyar Tarayyar Amurka, tara kuɗi na M2 a Amurka da kuma nuna alamun Amurka da index na Amurka. Hasashen ya yi zai iya yiwuwa a gano tsarin da ke zuwa yayin lokutan manufar kuɗi ta Tarayyar Turai: 1) A cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, Index Index yana matsayi mai girma; Resularancin amfani da tsarin Reserveal na Tarayyar Amurka yana da tasiri mafi girma a cikin zangon dala na Amurka fiye da ƙimar ƙimar kuɗi na tsarin tarayya na Tarayya; 2) A cikin dogon lokaci, index na dollar Amurka ya kasance a karamar matakin; Adadin da aka yi niyya da Ingancin Adadin Fifici na Tarayya na tsarin Reseral Amurka ta samar da sakamako iri ɗaya a cikin Index Index; 3) A takaice da lokaci na dogon lokaci akwai karancin zango na index na Amurka, ya danganta da manufar kuɗi na Tarayyar Tarayyar Amurka; 4) Tasirin manufar kuɗi ta tsarin ajiyar kuɗin Amurka a kan layi na dala na Amurka yana iyakance ta hanyar ƙimar kuɗi da wadatar kuɗi; Don haka aka rage alamun dalar Amurka, alal misali, har zuwa maki 60, rukunin kuɗi na M2, kuma farashin kuɗi ya ragu zuwa -14%, ba shakka, ba gaskiya bane (Hoto na 4) .
Don haka, a halin yanzu, tasirin manufar samar da kuɗi na tsarin Reserve na Amurka zuwa ga asalin dalar Amurka yana iyakance kuma a cikin hangen nesa na dogon lokaci na iya rage alamun dalar Amurka. Mafi mahimmancin raguwa a darajar ƙasa da ƙasa na dalar Amurka na iya samar da ƙarin kayan aikin don manufofin tattalin arziki da kuma yanayin mummunan yanayin a cikin tattalin arziƙin Amurka.
Tenkovskaya L.i., dan takarar kimiyyar tattalin arziki, Mataimakin Farfesa
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