Addara maɓallin maɓallin zai ɗauki ruble: menene kuma zai yanke shawarar bankin?

Anonim
Addara maɓallin maɓallin zai ɗauki ruble: menene kuma zai yanke shawarar bankin? 5015_1

Bankin Rasha ya yarda da hukuncin da aka dawwama a kan adadin. An tashe shi daga 4.25% zuwa 4.50%. Iya warware matsalar tana da kyau ga rublewar Rasha da rauni mara kyau ga kasuwar hannun jari, wannan damuwar rabon rarrabuwa. Game da wannan Bankiros.ru ya gaya wa shugaban IAC Alpari Alexander Poavamaev.

A cewar Fabrairu, a cikin hauhawar farashin kaya, hauhawar farashin kaya zuwa 5.7% a kan ƙirar TD da aka tsara a cikin 4%.

"Ba shakka ƙara samun ragi a farashin ba shakka ba kusa da kusurwar ba. Ba zai zama tattalin arzikin birki da baya na mai tsada ba. A cikin shekara ta yanzu, muna tsammanin ci gaban GDP na 4%, dala jannoben - 65-67 rubles da rodows.

Ya tuno cewa jiya, turkey da Brazil sun ba da sanarwar kaifi a cikin key breats tare da bambanci. Bankin tsakiya na Brazil ya kara farashin lamuni a maki 0.75%, har zuwa 2.75% kowace shekara, mamaki da kasuwa, wanda ke jiran matakai 0.5 pp. Abubuwan da ake tsammanin suna aiki da bankin Tagocked da Bankin Turkiyya, sun tashe fare tare da 15% zuwa 17% a Annum (kasuwa annabta zuwa 16%). Kasa a kasar ta kai 19% bayan lyra ya fadi zuwa cikakkiyar "kasa" na Nuwamba da ya kai 8.3 kafin ajezuev.

"Hawks" ya dawo kasuwa. Kuma bankin Rasha, tabbas, za su kasance a gaba ɗaya. Kuma wannan yana da kyau. Tunanina shi ne cewa ingantacciyar matakin da keɓantaccen bankin Rasha ne 6-7%, kuma da sauri farashin zai kasance a cikin wannan ko mafi kyau, "tushen shine ya tabbata ga Bankiros.ru.

Ya yi bayanin cewa adadin mabuɗin da aka sani yana hauhawar hauhawar farashin kaya, ƙira, ƙimar tattalin arziƙi da jirgin sama. Rasha ruble don ƙimar ajiya na yanzu ta daina zama kuɗin tanadi. Saboda haka jirgin ruwan 'yan ƙasa zuwa kasuwar hannun jari, a cikin ƙasa da kuma, ba shakka, dala, Divru ya lura.

Yana da yakinin hakan yana kan adibas da lamunin yanzu za su girma da 0.5% -0%, tun da karuwar maɓalli zai zama al'ada.

"A ƙarshe, 2021, mun kiyasta kewayon mahimman farashin Babban Bankin na tsakiya na 5.5% - 6.0. Rates akan adibas na 'yan ƙasa a cikin 6% na al'ada ne, zai mayar da dokokin kudin Savits, "ya kammala dokokin.

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