Kawai shekaru uku da suka wuce, GDP duniya GDP ya girma da 3% shekara akan shekara, amma farashin ƙarfe na ƙarfe ya ragu ta fiye da 20%. Tateling galibi ana kiranta "luclial jan ƙarfe" don gaskiyar cewa a cikin yanayin buƙatun wannan ƙarfe zaku iya gano kowane "cututtukan" na tattalin arziƙi. Amma sai wani cuta na rashin daidaituwa tsakanin jan karfe da tattalin arziƙi.
Yanzu farashin jan ƙarfe yana kusa da dabi'un da kullum, yayin da tattalin arzikin duniya yana neman 'yantar da kansu daga sakamakon coronavirus. Ba a kiyaye abubuwan da ke ciki.
Amma wannan lokacin kasuwanni suna farin ciki saboda hasashen da duniya za ta dawo daga sauri. Don haka, "Deck jan ƙarfe" ya tabbatar da ikon yin hasashen ci gaba da tattalin arzikin.
A ranar Litinin, a karon farko a cikin shekaru tara da suka gabata, farashinta na ƙarfe na tagulla a cikin watanni 9945, wanda aka rubuta zuwa ga mafi yawan $ 9945, wanda aka rubuta a watan Afrilun 2011. Yawan karuwar na yanzu yana da alaƙa da gaskiyar cewa masu hannun jari sun yi imani da cewa matsalolin da ke da jan ƙarfe za su tsananta ga asalin abin da duniya take.
A matakin musayar sabbin kayayyaki na New York na iya zuwa nan gaba don samar da jan karfe ya kai $ 4.22 a kowace fam. Wannan shi ne mafi girman darajar bayan babban August 2011, lokacin da jan ƙarfe ya kashe $ 4.50. Tashi na yanzu a farashin jan ƙarfe yana da alaƙa da fatan cewa wani kunshin matakan motsa kuɗi na Shugaba Joseph Biden zai tabbatar da dawo da tattalin arziƙi 1.9 Johinph Biden zai tabbatar da dawo da tattalin arziƙi 1.9 Joseph Biden zai tabbatar da dawo da tattalin arziƙi 1
Takaici, kumbura ko tsayayye?
Takaddun kuɗi ne na kuɗi ko manufofin kuɗi da nufin haɓaka samarwa, yana ƙarfafa farashin da ke tattare da shawo kan sakamakon damfara. Yawancin lokaci refalation na faruwa bayan wani lokacin tattalin arziƙi ko koma bayan tattalin arziki.A wasu lokatai, Rign ana kiranta farkon lokacin farfadowar tattalin arzikin bayan sa. A irin waɗannan lokutan, dala yakan rage, yana haifar da haɓaka haɓaka a farashin kayan masarufi, wanda aka sani a ƙarƙashin kalmar "Rage Kasuwanci".
Wasu manajojin sun yi hasashen cewa cikar tattalin arzikin Amurka ba komai bane illa hauhawar hauhawar farashin kaya wanda zai sake haɗawa da "cikin salon" bayan shekara ta rashin kulawa. Wasu masana tattalin arzizai har ma da hasashen cewa tsinkayen karar za su tashi - haɗakar babban hauhawar farashin rashin aikin yi da kuma buƙatun mai rauni.
A kowane hali, hasashen sun ce bukatar tagulla zai dauke sama.
Tumbuni na $ 10,000 akan musayar ƙarfe na London da $ 5 akan zox
Specialistari Max LEighton, Shugaban Sashen Binciken Kasuwancin RAW a yankin Emea, a cikin wata hira da Bloomberg, ya ce jerin "Bullish" na farashin ƙarfe suna da tsawo:
"A cikin watanni masu zuwa, da yawa daga cikin abubuwan da suka dace da bigucel za su taka gaskiya. Saboda haka, muna hasashen cewa ba da jimawa ba na gaba don jan karfe zai isa $ 10,000. "
Zane-zane ya ba safarar zane
A cewar Sunil Kumar Dixit, Andin Sk Dixit Yarjejeniyar Yarjejeniya ta Indiya, a kan Oza na New York, ya doke darajar rikodin dala 4,625 . Dixit ya yi imani:
"A kan farashin zox na jan karfe ya wuce matakan matakan $ 3.30, $ 3.80 da $ 4,10 kamar yadda wuka mai zafi ke wucewa cikin mai. Tsarin dynamics na yanzu ya nuna cewa jan ƙarfe ya shirya don shawo kan mafi girman 2011, an gyara shi a $ 4.63. Idan wannan ya faru, wanda yake mafi yawan lokuta, "bijimai" ba za su iya kwantar da hankali ba, sai kuma zai zama tagulla a kan ajanda. "
Amma ga alamun fasaha game da zane-zane na tagulla a kan zox, Raki) yana nuna har tsawon rana, a matsayin zane-zanen motsi, a cewar Dicita, manyan dalilai don ci gaba da Bull Trend.
Koyaya, ya yi gargaɗin cewa iska mai wucewa don jan ƙarfe na iya canzawa, ko da yake ba mai tsawo ba:
"A gefe guda, kammala rana da kuma sati na mako-mako ya kamata a yi la'akari da shi a matsayin alamar farko da farashin jan karfe zai ragu da sati 10 da 50 -week fallasa matsakaiciyar motsi a $ 3 matakan, 76 da $ 3.68, bi da bi. "
Mummunan neman da ya haifar da farashin don yawancin kayayyaki
Amma farashin ba ya girma ba kawai don jan ƙarfe. Farashi sun kusa a kan dukkan kayayyaki - daga mai zuwa zinare, daga azurfa zuwa masara - ya tashi wani tsawan ragi wanda ya gudana ta hanyar mai rahusa kudi. Masu saka hannun jari suna neman riba yayin da bankunan tsakiya na duniya gaba ɗaya suna riƙe rikodin ƙimar riba don haɓaka murmurewa daga Covid-19.Game da karar da jan ƙarfe, ana ci gaba da kasancewa na dogon lokaci.
Jan ƙarfe yawanci ana ɗaukarsa azaman mai nuna halin da ake ciki a cikin tattalin arzikin duniya. Kuma wannan ƙarfe yana zama mafi tsada kusan ba tare da tsayawa ba na shekara mafi yawa godiya ga babban mai ba - China. Wannan kasar ta fara murmurewa daga Lukkaunov Covid-19 kafin sauran duniya.
Koyaya, a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata, da nuna kai tsakanin farashin jan karfe da kuma yawan tattalin arziki ya zama mai girma sosai cewa don abubuwan da ba a saba ba da tambayar: "Lutric wan ne?"
Duk da matsalar kudi ta 2008-2009, GDP Duniyar ta karu. Cumpative GDP girma na tsawon 2000-2009 ya kasance 29%, wanda yayi daidai da karuwar shekara ta 2.9%.
Idan ka kwatanta shi da farashin karfe, to, a watan Janairu 2000, ya fara ne a zox tare da darajar $ 0.86 a kan laban kuma ya gama $ 3.33 a watan Disamba 2009. Wannan karuwa ce mai ban tsoro a 287%. Babu shakka, jan ƙarfe a wannan lokacin bai nuna halin da ake ciki a cikin tattalin arziƙi ba, ya kasance saboda ci gaban tattalin arziki.
Sake daga datti a cikin yarima?
Asiri na jan karfe na 2000-2009 ba a magance su ba tsawon shekaru goma masu zuwa.
GDP girma a cikin shekaru goma masu zuwa ba su canza ba a zahiri, hanzarta tara darajar 30% na tsawon daga 2010 zuwa 2019 (matsakaita 3%). Koyaya, jan ƙarfe ya tafi wata hanya.
A kan zox, farashin karfe ya fara ne da $ 3.33 a kowace laban a watan Janairu 2010 kuma an gama shi a ƙimar $ 2.83 a kowace laban Disamba 2019. Saboda haka, farashin jan karfe a wannan lokacin ya ragu da 15%.
Masu sharhi nazarin farashin wannan shekarun sun yi imanin cewa farashin tagulla ana kamawa saboda yanayin jinkirin cikin ci gaban tattalin arziki, wanda baya zuwa. Hakanan, bukatar da farashin ya yi tasiri kan yakin kasuwanci na hukumar ta Trump tare da kasar Sin, wacce ita ce mai shigo da wannan ƙarfe a duniya.
A kowane hali, a cikin shekaru 20, a cikin shekaru 20, jan ƙarfe, a matsayin babban masana'antu na masana'antu na duniya, ya fito daga sarakuna a cikin datti.
Za ta iya komawa zuwa baya?
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