Dollar Amurka ta ci gaba da karfafa gwiwa, kodayake an zaci ta cewa shugabancin Bydden a kan Majalisa) zai ci gaba da raguwa. Wataƙila kasuwa ma an yi amfani da ita sosai don mayar da hankali kan tsammanin da ta fi tsayi da kuma yanke hukunci ya fita yana da nisa. Koyaya, idan wannan haɓakawa na ƙarshe, zai fara gabatar da barazana ga yanayin ƙasa.
USD: ConsoliDation yana gabatowa matakan juyawa
Dollar Amurka bayan rauni Juma'a tana rufe Juma'a a kan titi ta sake samun damar tashi. Yanayi a kan Hauwa ta rantsar da Joe Bayden a ranar Laraba ne, duk da cikakken rashin rikici a cikin Amurka a karshen mako bayan manyan shahararrun jami'o'i. Ana zaton cewa dole ne mu ji tsoron zanga-zangar a ranar bulogin, amma akwai ra'ayi cewa hargitsi mafi tsaunukan Trump ne, da kuma jawabai mafi zafi na da horon kansa da sauran yanayi na mutane.
Amma idan za a sauya iko kuma za a gudanar da lumana, har yanzu za a sami batutuwan da yawa. Shin gwamnatin Ba'an hanzari ta hanzarta alurar rigakafin allurar rigakafi da lashe tsere da nau'in ƙwararrun covid-19? Shin Majalisa ta nuna goyon baya (da farko, masu sanannun manyan myators) sabbin biyan kudi da sauran matakan? Abin da zai kasance tare da bututun makullin makullin, soke aikin ginin wanda zai iya shafar da biyu daga USDCAD (daki-daki game da shi ƙasa)? Bugu da kari, a cikin makonni na farko na sabuwar gwamnatin, zan sanya saka idanu kan alamomin shiga China da Rasha. Warter ta yi barazanar da sabon takunkumi saboda tuhumar a cikin ƙaddamar da harin yanar gizo na kwanan nan a kan cibiyoyin jihar Amurka da kuma tsangwama a zaben 2016. Yanzu an ƙara ɗaurin wa shugaban 'yan adawar na NANGY, wanda ya koma Rasha ranar Lahadi. Gudanar da Trump din ya dauki matakan da suka fi kyau a kan Sin, kuma kasuwar ba zata son matsayin da Republican dangane da musayar jari.
A halin yanzu, muna jiran amsoshin duk waɗannan batutuwan, ƙungiyar USD ta zo ta isa, kodayake kada jujjuyawar matakai. Arar cigaba da karfafa dala a nan gaba zai fara saka a kan "bears". Ana haɗa yanayin yanayin da haɗarin koma bayan hatsarin da aka yi amfani da shi. Kamar yadda na fada a yau kira na kasuwar na Podkaster Saxo, yana da karfin dunkulewar fikafi a wajen EURUSD bai taba samun wani sabon tsari ba - wannan yana nufin raguwa a matakan da aka fi so. A da, irin wannan bambance-bambancen fiye da sau ɗaya fiye da yadda ya fuskanta sau ɗaya a kasuwa. Ya zuwa yanzu, duk da haka, yin hukunci da wuri. Ina ɗauka cewa idan babban dala ya faru, to, mai daɗi saboda daidaituwa na matsayi tare da duk wani lokaci tare da kasuwar ambaliyar ruwa mai ruwa mai ƙarfi a cikin amsar da pandemic.
A yau a cikin hutun jama'ar Amurka - rana Martin Luther King, don haka kasuwannin akwai rufe kuma gaba daya yana iya yin saurin sauka.
Gobe ana tsammanin zai yi dan takarar da ministocin kudi na Amurka Janet Yellevlen, da tsohuwar babi na Fed. Mutanen da ke kusa da shi sun ce za ta bayyana imani a cikin kasuwa na dala kuma ta ƙi koma baya na wucin gadi a cikin fa'idodin gasa. A cikin kudade na Ministan Kudi na Amurka shekaru da yawa - aƙalla tun lokacin da Robert Rubber Rubn, wanda ya yi aiki a matsayin Clinton, ya hada da goyon baya ga karfafa ko akalla kwanciyar hankali. Gaskiya ne ko da ga mai lura da Trump Mnuchina, lokacin da Trump din har yanzu yana kaiwa fed da USD "pigeons" mukamai; Don haka, yana tare da ita a farkon shekarar 2016 an jinkirta karuwa a cikin kudaden bayan wani ci gaba mai girma na dala.
Jadawalin: EURUSD.
Eurousd Hushu ya fadi zuwa matakin farko da ya dace daidai da kashi 38.2 na gaba daya na gaba daya daga Nuwamba - matakin gaba daya don komawa zuwa dogon matsayi. Next, idan (Abubakar) ya ci gaba, da key sokewa zone zai zama game da 1,2000, da rarrabẽwar matakin for dollar "Bears" Za a cikin unguwa na 1,1900 da matakin na 61.8-% na Fibonacci gyara: idan da biyu da dama a kasa, sannan wani furta gazawar yana gaba.
Source: Saxo Group
A takaice bunnewi game da G10 da Yuan Currency
USD - gaba daya rashin raunin rashin haɗari ya canza faffadar da aka samu a matsayin tallafin Amurka. "Bear" zai bukaci ma'auni mai zurfi tsakanin inganta haɗarin haɗarin da ba shi da sauri.
CNH - Yuan yana aiki a cikin Consolidation na Dollar: Haɗin USDCNH ya sake sama da sama da 6.50, muhimmiyar shekara a kan hanya. Wannan ya sake nuna cewa yanayin da zai yi da aka yi wa USD ya roƙi kaya.
EUR - kamar yadda aka nuna a sama, muhimmin matakin kwastomomi na sirri shine 1.2000, kuma da kewayen 1.1900 suna da muhimmanci sosai. Akwai wani tasirin rikicin siyasa a Italiya, kodayake a cikin Buddin BTP, komai mummunan hakan ya faru.
Jins - Yen yana da kyau a cikin giciye kuma a zama na ƙarshe ba ko da ba da gudummawar da ke Amurka ta Lamuni. Biyu Epjpy Falls.
GBP - a cikin EURGBP, akwai matakan ban sha'awa a makon da ya gabata, kuma laban Stean Merling ya rage gudu. Ana auna Gbpusd zuwa yankin maɓallin 1,3500. EURGBP har yanzu ya fi dacewa ya zama idan yana da ke ƙasa 0.8950.
ChF - francc girma har da bukatar "mai aminci tashar" da ragewa a dawo.
Aud - a cikin wani Audid Hasticial Earziwation, amma ba zai zama barazanar ba har zuwa yankin shine 0.7600-07625. Koyaya, yanayin anan zai iya tsayayya da karya matakin 0.7500, har ma da kai harin akan Revorsal Zone na Reversal 0.7400-0,725. Duk ya dogara da yadda ake mayar da taken refational da sauri.
CAD - BIDEN na iya soke gina bututun keystone da ake buƙata don inganta damar zuwa ƙasar Kanada. Koyaya, shirin yin bututun mai "tsaka tsaki" ta gabatar. Neman makomarsa a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa na iya zama tabbataccen abu don USDCAD.
NZD - New Zealacinen har yanzu yana bayan Australiya; Mafi mahimmancin yankin da ke Audnzd shine kusan 1.0800-1,0850.
SEK - Enerek ya yi barazanar tsayayya da matakin juriya na gaba na juriya 10.25-10.30, idan haɗarin ci zai ci gaba. Amma har yanzu mun yi imani cewa bayan wani lokaci da za ta tsaya.
Nok - Bayan amsar mai da aka amince da mai, ƙarin gyara na iya sake dawo da Eurnok zuwa 10.50. Idan masu biyun sun wuce wannan matakin, to, raguwar raguwar kambi wanda ke hana shi komawa zuwa ci gaba kuma ka kusanci matakin 10.00.
John Hardy, Main Dateungiyar Kategist Bank Saxo Bank