Tashin hankali jira

Anonim

A takaice fantsancin rashin daidaituwa na mazar da Amurka ta gabata, wanda ya faru a makon da ya gabata, an yi birgima. Kasuwancin yana ƙoƙarin tattara tunaninsa kuma ya koma cikin da ya gabata, amma akwai matsaloli. A cikin kwanaki masu zuwa da sati, kasuwa za ta jira don ci gaba da aiwatar da tsare-tsaren bankunan tsakiya, tsakanin burin masu haɗari (ainihin da maras nauyi).

Kasuwancin Kasuwanci: Kulawa na Kulawa bayan rauni da "Trezeris"

Bayanin "rauni tare da Trezeris" an ɗauke shi daga taken Kasuwancin Kasuwanci na yau. A ciki, munyi magana game da inda kasuwar take neman sabon mai daukar fansa a bayan tsallake ba tare da yin shuru ba tare da kara bayyanar da dysfunction). Kasuwanci suna ƙoƙarin komawa inda suka kasance kafin abubuwan da suka faru a makon da ya gabata, amma ina shakka hakan yana da cikakken yuwuwar facecal da manufofin kuɗi, musamman daga Fed.

Shin zai iya samun dama ta tashi kuma, amma a hankali, ba tare da buga yanayin haɗarin ba? Shin zai yiwu a matakin yanzu? Zai yi wuya a faɗi, amma har zuwa yanzu motsi na kasuwa yana da jinkirin, Fed na iya ba son sigina na yau da kullun a cikin kasuwar Trezeris: "Ina bin abubuwan da suka faru a cikin Wasu kasuwar ... hankalina ya jawo hankalina a makon da ya gabata da saurin su. "

A Bloomberg an buga labarin inda kasuwar torzing "" Asirin kasuwar Trezeris "" "ana ganin, yin la'akari da mahimman mahimmancin yanayin duniya. Babban tambaya ita ce marmarin da ƙarfin bankunan Amurka don riƙe manyan manyan bayanan baitul. A cikin rabi na biyu na shekara sannan kuma zai zama mafi latsawa musamman, tun da ƙarar hakkin bondrin ya fi na siyar da siyansu na yau da kullun. Bai kamata ku manta da cewa dalilan nan da nan ba don faduwar "Trezeris" a makon da ya gabata ya kasance ƙarancin buƙata a gwanjo bakwai na shekara bakwai. Wata tambaya ita ce ko Fed za ta dawo da buƙatun, a bara saboda tanadin tsarin kudi daga hargitsi. Kalmar Cirewa ta ƙare a ƙarshen wannan watan, da Senatoran Senatoran Demokradiyya da Brown sun riga sun rubuta kira ga Fed da sauran cibiyoyin tambayar ba su tsawaita shi. Dole ne a warware wannan batun, in ba haka ba sabbin abubuwan ban mamaki ba makawa ne, ko kuma ta hanyar samar da manufofin kasafin kudi, ko ka'idar kuɗi na zamani "da kuma mamayar jigo na kasafin kudi). Tuni sati mai zuwa zamu sami sabon gwaji - gwanjo don 10- da 30-shekaru paper.

Don haka, an ba da abin da aka ambata a sama kuma gaskiyar cewa yawan adadin takaddun shekaru 10 na ɗan lokaci, dole ne a ɗauka cewa kasuwannin zai iya samun damuwa tun kafin a sami matsala a gabanta, ko Har yanzu yawan amfanin ƙasa zai iya yin shuru, ba tare da aika yarjejeniyar haɗari zuwa cikin akwati ba. Na karshen wataƙila zai yiwu kawai da ci gaban tsammanin hatsarin hauhawar farashinsa wanda ya wuce girma na yawan amfanin ƙasa - shine, tare da raguwa a ainihin dawowar gaske. Jira na iya zama mai matukar rai. Wataƙila lamarin yanzu ya isa juyawa mai juyawa, wanda ke ɗauke da kasuwannin kadara da ke da muhimmanci a cikin al'adun gargajiya. Magoya bayan ragi ba za su ji rauni ba don jira har sai ya bayyana cewa Fed na samar da bautarsa ​​a Amurka da sauri fiye da sauran duniya.

Labarin wata na yau: bisa ga tushen Bloomberg a cikin ECB, bankin bai ga bukatar rage dawowarsa ba, duk da maganganun wasu wakilan da suka gamsu da su. Yuro a kan wannan labarai ya ɗan tashe shi, kuma yawon shakatawa na jihar na ƙasashen EU sun kasance kyawawan tallace-tallace masu kyau. Yawan amfanin gona na shekaru 10 na Jamus ya karu da maki biyu; Koyaya, har yanzu yana ƙasa -30 B.pl, kuma a ranar Juma'a, kafin wasan kwaikwayon I. Shnabel, ya kai -20 BP.

Amma ga laban Sterling, a yau Ministan Kasar Britanare Zean Redak na Britaniya zai yi rahoton bazara a kan kasafin kudin. An riga an yi leairce, kuma da alama babban batunta zai zama matsakaicin goyon bayan yawan jama'a da ayyukan haraji akan kasuwanci, da sauransu) sai dai don hangen nesa na dogon lokaci.

Ginshiƙi: Audusd da baftisma masu ba da labari

Daga jadawalin, ana iya ganin cewa aususd ta amince da cewa zanga-zangar Aususd na dogon lokaci ba ta da illa ga rage farashin kayan aikinmu 10 "Trezeris") . Koyaya, barkewar irin yanayin rashin lafiyar Amurkawa ta faru a ranar Alhamis ta gabata, musamman da karfi dangane da shekaru 2 zuwa 7. A sakamakon haka, komai ya fashe, mai mai ba da gudummawa ya fara, wanda ya buge da irin waɗannan ma'aurata a Audus - Australiya ta kasance ɗaya daga cikin kuɗin ƙasa mai yawa. Daga wannan gaba, Audusd da nan gaba a Trezeris ya shiga mafi tabbataccen daidaituwa. Koma baya ga rashi yana yiwuwa ne kawai idan amfanin da ke cikin Amurka zai iya yin girma a hankali, ba tare da haifar da sabon hatsari ba. Audusd biyu don magance siyarwa ya kamata a rufe sama da 0.7900, da kuma komawa zuwa ragi - faduwa a kasa 0.7700.

Tashin hankali jira 20933_1
Audara / USD.

Source: Bloomberg.

Maballin kalanda mai zuwa na kalan tattalin arziki (lokacin dukkan abubuwan da suka faru an nuna ta hanyar Greenwich::

  • 13:15 - Rahoton AdP akan canjin aiki a matakin aiki a cikin Amurka a watan Fabrairu
  • 15:00 - kyakkyawan fata na kasuwanci (ISM) a cikin tsarin Amurka don Fabrairu
  • 15:10 - magana ta L. de Gyardos daga ECB
  • 15:30 - Rahoton na mako-mako na Ma'aikatar Ku makamashi a Rukunin mai da kayayyakin man fetur a ƙasar
  • 16:00 - S. Tenreiri ya yi daga Bankin Ingila akan kudaden sha'awa
  • 17:00 - Jawabin R. Bostik daga Fed (Member Masu jefa kuri'a Fomc)
  • 18:00 - magana ta ch. Evans daga Fed (Member Masu jefa kuri'a Fomc)
  • 19:00 - Takaitaccen Takaitawa game da yanayin da Amurka ta bayar game da yanayin tattalin arziki na yanzu a cikin gundumomi
  • 19:30 - Jawabin I. Shnabel daga ECB
  • 20:15 - magana da shugaban New Zealand Reserve Reserve A. Orra
  • 00:30 - Rahoton Asusun Kasuwancin Australiya na Janairu
  • 03:25 - Jawabin J. Kerry daga Bankin Reserve Australia

John Hardy, Main Dateungiyar Kategist Bank Saxo Bank

Karanta abubuwan asali na asali akan: zuba jari.com

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