A taron na gaba, ranar 12 ga Fabrairu, Babban bankin zai riƙe mabuɗin ba da canji ba, masana tattalin arziki tabbas sun tabbatar. Wannan yana jiran magungunan Bloomberg 36: suna hango ko hasashen adana farashin a 4.25%. Irin wannan siginar da aka ba wa Babban Bankin da kanta: canji a farashin a cikin 'yan wasan na yau da kullun ya nuna cewa "yuwuwar fare-fare] a lokacin bazara, ba a bayyana ba fiye da lokacin bazara.
Ba kamar taron da suka gabata ba, za a iya tsawaita rhetoric na tsakiya na tsakiya. Mai tsara zai ware sigina ko da zai yiwu ya ragu a cikin kudi, babban masanin tattalin arziƙin "Reenaissance babban birnin" Reenaissance babbs ya yi imani. Ba zai iya jaddada kuma ya tara yiwu ya yawaita ba. Canjin hankali a cikin rhetoric mai yiwuwa ne a watan Afrilu, kuma farashin na farko na maki 25 - a watan Yuni, donets kace.
Me yasa aka dakatar da ni?Babban bankin zai rike fare saboda hade da sigina na hauhawar farashin kaya, masu tattalin arziki la'akari. A cikin Janairu, tsammanin hauhawarawa na yawan jama'a ya fara raguwa. Amma hauhawar farashin kaya a cikin shekara-shekara da hanzarta daga 4.8 zuwa 5.2 zuwa 5.2% saboda tasirin ƙananan tushe. Faɗa daga farashin farashi don ayyuka, wanda ya haifar da karuwa a cikin hauhawar farashin kaya (ba la'akari da kayayyaki, farashin abin da ke cikin ɓoye) a watan Janairu.
Farashin Abinci na Duniya suna girma. A cikin watan Janairu 2021, matsakaicin darajar index index na Fao abinci (Kungiyar abinci da Noma) ya kai maki 113.3 - Wannan shine mafi girman daga Yuli 2014.
A karshen shekarar 2020, ana yi wa bankin bankin tsakiya a karshen 2020 (matsayinsu bazai yuwu da karfi tare da ra'ayin jami'in banki na tsakiya ba). Daga cikin waɗannan abubuwan da suka kira:
- rauni daga abin da ke;
- Girma da farashin abinci na duniya da rage amfanin gona na kayan mutum;
- Buƙatar ɗan lokaci na ɗan lokaci don kayayyaki masu mahimmanci;
- Girma na farashi na kamfanoni saboda bukatun tsabta;
- Canza bukatar mutane daga ayyuka don kaya;
- MITSCICAINGHAT DA SIFFOFINSA.
Amma dalilai masu rarrabawa sun ci gaba, daraktan saka hannun jari "Loco-OUn Insants Dmitry Field Forest Forest Forest Forest Fialmy filin: Sakamakon mai ba da izinin ci gaban kasafin kudi.
Menene na gaba?A cewar hasashen manazarci na bankin tsakiya, hauhawar farashin zai kai ga ganiya a cikin Fabrairu 2021, sannan kuma fara sauka. A kan bango iyakance farashin mutum da canje-canje a cikin fitarwa, hauhawar abinci zai jira na manazartar "Renaissance babban birnin" Renaissance babban birnin "Renaissance Babban birni". Amma ka'idar farashin zata sanya rhetorik na tsakiya, akasin haka, mafi shaƙuwa, kuma ba pigeon ba, tunda Babban Bankin ba ya goyon bayan shirin Gwamnati na tsakiya ba ya goyon bayan shirin gwamnati, suna rubutawa.
Masana tattalin arziki da aka bincika ta Bloomberg sun ba da izinin farashin 25-50 tushe maki kuma kawai a karo na biyu kawai na shekara na 2022-2023. A kasuwar kayansa mãsu mafi m tsammanin, ya rubuta a cikin filin na filin: Tashin kudi har zuwa 4,75% by farkon rabin 2022, kuma har zuwa 5% da karshen 2022, da IPZ kwana m zuwa kasuwar tsammanin ga wani shekara ya shafi har up zuwa 6% na ƙarshen 2022 - farkon 2023.
Amma IMF tana ba da shawara game da bankin tsakiya na Rasha a cikin watanni masu zuwa don rage key ke ci gaba a cikin 50 bp, saboda hauhawar farashin kaya baya tafiya a ƙasa manufa (4%). Hakanan ya wajaba don ƙirƙirar sarari don rawar daji a nan gaba, sun bayyana: idan matsin lamba na iya hanzarta sannan banki na tsakiya zai amsa da haɓaka ragi.