An wuce Peak na amfani da shi a cikin 2019, ya bayyana a ranar Laraba ta hukumar ta kasa (Mea) Fatih Birol a wani taron manema labarai wanda aka sadaukar da kai ga sabon hasashen kasuwa a 2021-2026. Ya yi ajiyar ajiya cewa hukumar masu sharhi ta yi a baya sun yi irin wannan zato, amma yanzu a karon farko za su iya amincewa da shi. "Tabbas akwai abin mamaki, amma ba mu sake tsammanin dawowar gas zuwa matakin shekarar 2019 ba," ya kammala Birol.
A cewar Maa, a shekarar 2020, saboda Lukadav yayin wani pandemic, da bukatar gas ya fadi zuwa rikodin miliyan 2.9 a kowace rana. A cikin 2021, godiya ga maido da ayyukan direbobi, da Mea na bukatar ci gaban yau da kullun bukatar ta 1.7 miliyan ganga, kuma a cikin 2022 - a ganga 470. A cikin 2026, cin abinci na gas zai zama ganga miliyan 25.9 kawai - wannan ganga 690,000 a kowace rana da ke ƙasa 2019.
A cewar Birol, ana sa ran digo mafi muhimmanci a cikin kasashe masu tasowa, yayin da ake ci gaba za su ci gaba da girma, da albeit a cikin karamin matsayi.
A Rasha, samar da fetur a cikin 2020 ya fadi da kusan 5% zuwa 38.4 miliyan tan, ya biyo baya daga bayanan Ma'aikatar kuzari. Amma ma'aikatan mai tarihi sun fitar da tarihi na ɗan ƙaramin girma, galibi yana wadatar da mai zuwa kasuwar cikin gida. Gaskiya ne, a shekarar 2020, a cewar FCs, fashewar ta girma da kashi 12.4% kusan har zuwa tan miliyan 6.
A nan gaba, an shirya shi don ƙara fitarwa na Autobanzin daga Rasha, amma har ma a cikin matsakaicin dala miliyan 10 na fitarwa daga man dizal, ya ce Babban Taron Fasaha Vygon Sergey Ezhov. Wadanda suka fito na Rashan za su iya sake tursasawa autobanzine zuwa kasuwannin Asiya da Afirka, inda har yanzu ci gaban da ake amfani da shi har yanzu an annabta, masanin ya yi imani. A matsayin mafita ga matsalar, kamfanoni da yawa suna yin la'akari da sassauƙa masu zuwa don samar da kayan abinci don samar da albarkatun ƙasa don samar da albarkatu na mai fatalwa, yana gaya wa Hedges.
Batura maimakon feturDalilin halin da ake ciki a kasuwar ta duniya shine ci gaban motocin lantarki, yayi bayani game da Mea. A cewar Bloomberg sabon kudi na makamashi, tallace-tallace na fasinjojin lantarki zai yi girma a cikin tallace-tallace miliyan 12, da kuma yawan motocin da suka halarci miliyan 60. Wannan zai kai ga raguwar duniya bukatar mai, kusan rabin wanda aka sarrafa shi zuwa jigilar motoci, da kuma manyan ganga 1 a rana: saboda fitowar adadin motocin lantarki da ke a cikin 2026, da Bukatar manyan ganga 700,000 za su shuɗe da 300 000 - dizal.
"A shekaru huɗu masu zuwa, zamu ga irin wadannan canje-canje a kasuwar sufuri na lantarki, wanda aka gani a cikin shekaru 20 da suka gabata," shugaban kasa da Shugaba na Amurka da Cibiyar Bincike na Amurka da kuma Cibiyar Bincike na masana'antar wutar lantarki ta Amurka.
Kasashe da yawa sun saita kashe-kashe don dakatar da sayar da motocin tare da injiniyan Contusion na ciki (DVS). Don haka, a Norway, zai zo ne a shekarar 2025 (a watan Satumba na shekarar 201,50, a cikin Faransa - a cikin 2040 a cikin California, wanda shine Babban kasuwa (tallace-tallace na shekara-shekara - kusan motoci miliyan 2, kusan 10% na abubuwan da ke cikin California suna haɓaka cikin sauri: Idan tashar mai A cikin jihar kasa da 10,500 (daga wadannan, 8270 sune fetur na daukar hoto, kimanin 32,000 (a cikin 6,000, a cewar Ma'aikatar makamashi na Amurka).
Fiye da rabin motocin lantarki a cikin 2026 zai gudanar da hanyoyin China, kusan kwata - a Turai, da Amurka da sauran ƙasashe, da ke kan wasu ƙasashe, da ke kan wasu ƙasashe, da ke da sauran ƙasashe.
Ana buƙatar buƙatun gwamnatoci da masu amfani da masu salla ta hanyar Autocompany. Janar Motored da 2035 don dakatar da barin motoci fasinja tare da DVS, Volvo ya sanya hasashen jigilar kayayyaki & yanayin da aka sayar a cikin kungiyar Tarayyar Turai ta zama mai lantarki ko kuma karbar raye-raye (Kusan sau biyar fiye da, fiye da yadda a cikin 2019). Volkswagen tsare-tsare-tsare-tsaren 2030, a karkashin alakar VW a Turai, za a sami kashi 70% na tallace-tallace a Turai, kuma a Amurka da China - fiye da 50%. A saboda wannan, VW yayi niyyar gina ko buɗe batura shida a Turai da sau biyar zuwa 18,000 zuwa 20,000 zuwa 2025. Yawan manyan tashoshin caji a Turai (za su kasance a tashoshin gas na BP).
Oarin mai, masaraSaboda raguwa a cikin sheki na mai a cikin shekaru masu zuwa a cikin shekaru masu zuwa, ana iya shawo kan tsire-tsire na sake rufe tsire-tsire masu amfani da mai, yana sauƙaƙe Iea. Wajibi ne a cire ikon da ke samar da ganga miliyan 6 na mai a kowace rana, kawai aikinsu zai yi tasiri, ya bayyana babban abin da aka yi nazarin kasuwannin Maa Toril Bosni. Kamfanoni sun riga sun sanar da shirye-shiryen rufe karfin samar da ganga miliyan 3.6 a rana.
An gudanar da igiyar farko ta farko a cikin ɓangaren mai sabuntawa a cikin 1980, lokacin da aka rufe baror ɗin miliyan 12 a kowace rana, kuma a farkon shekarar 2010. Wani gurbata miliyan 7 sun bar kasuwa.
Amma, idan jihohi ba za su ɗaure manufar a kan canjin tattalin arziƙi ba, Me ya sa ya yi tsammanin ganuwar mai a cikin shekaru masu zuwa, in ji Birol. "Na san wasu shugabannin masana'antu da yawa kwanan nan sun bayyana cewa ana yawan amfani da ganiya ta amfani, amma ba mu tunanin," in ji shi. Akasin haka, a cewar hasashen Hasashen, har zuwa karshen 2026, matsakaiciyar buƙatar yau da kullun zuwa miliyan 10.20 zuwa miliyan 10.20 akan docks (ganga miliyan 100 akan docks (ganga miliyan 100 ) Buƙatar zai dawo a 2023
A lokaci guda, babban mai ba da mai a kasuwar duniya za a maye gurbinsa, Iea yana so. Idan a cikin 2017-2019 Kasar Amurka ta gamsu kusan duk karuwar da ake bukata, wanda kusan ganga 4 na Gabas, da Saudiyya za ta kasance kasashen da ke kasashen waje, Iraki da Hadarin Arab Emirates, sun shaida Birol. Hadawa a cikin Amurka a cikin 2026 za a yi ganga miliyan 1.6 idan aka kwatanta da 2020, kuma a cikin ƙasashen uku da aka lissafa, miliyan 4.7 a Rasha, da hasala.
Amma, idan gwamnatoci da kasuwanci zasuyi ƙarin ƙoƙari don iyakance karuwa a cikin zafin jiki na duniya, ba ko da 2 °, da 1.5 ° (da Biyu ba a cikin Yarjejeniyar Paris), Buƙatar mai na iya fada sosai, masana na Hukumar Kula da Kasa da kasa da kasa kan hanyoyin da ake sabuntawa (Irena). Wato, kashi 85% zuwa miliyan 11 ganga a kowace rana da ranar 2050, ya ce ranar Talata kungiya ta hada kai a kasashe 163.
Fasaha don irin wannan canji na tattalin arziki zuwa tattalin arziƙi tuni yakan riga da ci gaba, amma don tabbatar da ƙara yawan hannun jari - har zuwa tiriliyan muhimmanci a shekara, a cewar Irena. Wannan shine sau biyu fiye da a cikin 2019. "Don cimma adawar da aka yi, da Shugaba na Irena.