"Amsar adawa": Kamar yadda AllbelorusSkke zai canza manufofin Belarus

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"Amsar adawa": Kamar yadda AllbelorusSkke zai canza manufofin Belarus

A watan Fabrairu 11-12, Majalisar mutane ta mutane da yawa. Taron ya samar da tattaunawa da mutane a kan tushen rikicin siyasa da kuma nuna kwatancen gyara wajibi. Musamman, Moscow ta dauke shi wani bangare na Minsk wanda aka kirkira a kan canji a tsarin mulki. A karshen, mahalarta na VNS da kuma yadda cikin manufofin bayyana a cikin shakka zai shafi manufofin da Belarus, da darektan da Jama'a Association Cibiyar Nazarin harkokin waje Policy da Tsaro, Bincike, Bincike, Institute of History of National Academy of Sciences , Denis Bukonkin.

Abin da aka ce a jikin vens

A ranar 12 ga Fabrairu, hukumomin Belarusian sun ayyana, wanda aka ayyana shi, wanda aka ayyana shi a matsayin babban taron wakilcin mutane a cikin shekaru 5 da suka gabata. Wannan taron ya tattara adadin wakilai da gaske daga sassa daban-daban na kasar. Amma hanya ta zaɓi da kanta tana nuna cewa an zaɓi wannan taron a yawancin rundunar ikon mutane.

Taron da kanta da aka yi niyyar tattauna ayyukan da kuma bada shawarwari Ministan da Minbask, wanda a farkon taron bai yi kasa ambaci shugaban Jamhuriyar Belarster Lukashenko ba. A wannan batun, mafi ban sha'awa da kuma m jawabai ne na wakilan gwamnatin da ke yanzu.

Abin takaici, lokacin Vns, daftarin gyara na hukumomin da hukumomin sun ba da izini ga hukuma, wanda ya kamata a zama wani zaɓi na ƙuri'a. Lukasheko ya iyakance kansa yayin gabatar da alkawarin yin watsi da ikon da shirya sabon tsarin na 2021. Saboda haka, zababben ƙayyadadden dokar zai iya wucewa ba a baya ba A farkon 2022, sannan kuma, idan ya dace da zaben na gida a watan Janairu. A lokaci guda, an gaya wa shugaban cewa Belarus har yanzu zai kasance Jamhuriyar shugaban kasa. A lokaci guda, ana tsammanin zai zama shirin haɗawa da matsayin haɗin kundin tsarin mulki a matsayin mafi girman wakilcin wakilan ƙasa. Amma wannan begen wakilai na Majalisar za su kasance fata har sai an gabatar da gyaran da suka dace zuwa sabon bugu na kundin tsarin mulki.

Don haka, mafi ban sha'awa da kuma ba da labari sun kasance wasan kwaikwayon shugaban kasar, Ministan Harkokin Wajen Vladimir Makeya na Harkokin waje na Vladimir, shugabannin Kangb Ivan Calcher. Bugu da kari, akwai wani wuri da kuma jawabin da dan takarar shugaban kasa Anna Kafopatskaya, wanda ba a hada shi cikin watsa shirye-shiryen hukuma ba.

Canza wuta da mitura-vector

Daga jawabin shugaban kasa, yana yiwuwa a san cewa jigilar wutar lantarki a Belarus har yanzu yana yiwuwa. A lokaci guda, ɗayan halayenta zai kasance groolengability na magoya bayan Lukashenko a cikin lamarin cewa sojojin siyasa ne na siyasa sun zo iko. A gefe, shugaban jihar da ya mayar da hankali kan tabbatar da manufofin Belaraya, wanda, ya sami canje-canje masu mahimmanci.

Don haka, an lura da cewa Belaraya "suna shirye a shirye don gina dangantaka da dukkan kasashe da kungiyoyi a kan ka'idodin daidaici, wadanda ba tsoma baki a cikin al'amuran ciki ba." A cewar shugaban, suna kuma sha'awar "sun daidaita dangantaka daban-daban tare da duniyar waje, da farko ga dukkan tattalin arziki." A lokaci guda, dangantaka da Tarayyar Turai suna da mahimmanci, da wanda Belusus "mafi dadewa da kuma babban matakin hadadden yanayi". Babu sauran m vector ga diflomasiyya na Belaraya shine kasashen da ake kira "dogon baka", inda wani muhimmin wuri yake "rufewa, da kuma sada zumunci da China. A lokaci guda, babban abokin tattalin arziki da kuma dabarun "Rasha.

Tambayoyin Haɗin kai

Dangantaka da Rasha sun sadaukar da wani bangare na jawabin Lukasheko. Musamman, mahimmancin mahimmancin dangantakar Belarus don duka yankin, kiyaye kwanciyar hankali da zaman lafiya a ciki. An nuna cewa Belarus ya ba da shawarar kuma zai yi don haɗin gwiwa a gidan Tarayyar Soviet a cikin wurare da yawa da kuma tsari da kuma tsari.

A lokaci guda, an lura cewa kungiyar Belarus da Russia daga hadin gwiwa a cikin EAUEU da sauran kungiya mai zurfi, ciki har da siyasa da tsaro. Kuma yanzu, a cewar sabon bincike na ilimin tattalin arziki, fiye da 70% na Belaradi suna hadewa tare da Rasha.

A lokaci guda, ana jaddada cewa gabobin da aka kirkira a cikin tsarin halin da aka kirkira ba su yi aiki da rikonsu ba, sabili da haka suna da wuri a farkon magana.

A cikin rahotonsa, Shugaban Jihar ya shafi taken Tarayyar tattalin arziki a cikin Eaeu, yana ba mahimmancin cimma sakamako na synergistist daga samuwar kasuwar kasuwa. A cikin bukatun Belarus - Halittar da cikakken tattalin arziki na tattalin arziki a tsakanin tsarin aikin Eaeu, "ya zama dole a inganta ingancin ayyukan Eurasian, da muhimmanci a cimma mai muhimmanci, tasirin synergistic akan samuwar wani Kasuwar gama gari kuma tana da mahimmancin hanyoyin tattalin arziki na jam'iyyun. Sai Eaeu zai zama mafi kyan gani ga sauran abokan tarayya, kuma ba wai kawai a cikin sararin samaniya ba. " A sakamakon irin wannan sakamakon ne cewa an yi bikin karar da ya shafi yaƙin na Belarusian da nufin 2020, kuma wannan layin ya yi nufin ci gaba nan gaba.

Amma ga Commonwealth na masu zaman kanta, to, bisa ga shugaban kasa, duk da makasudin matsalolin, yana riƙe da lamirinsa a matsayin kungiyar yanki. "Mabuɗin fifikon Belarus a cikin Comusealth ya kasance mai canzawa - don haɓaka hulɗa a matsayin tsarin ma'amala na tattalin arziƙin tattalin arziƙin ƙasar tattalin arziƙin ƙasar," in ji Lukhasheko. Shugaban Belarus a cikin CIS an aika zuwa cimma wannan burin a 2021

A cewar shugaban, hadin gwiwar soja da hadin gwiwar sojoji tare da Rasha da sauran kasashen CSTO zasu ci gaba. A lokaci guda, Minnan Minbs zai karfafa karfin kare tsaron kasar don tilasta halin da ake ciki na siyasa a yankin gabashin Turai.

Lukashenko ya jaddada cewa a Poland, kasashen Baltic a kan dan wasan na yau da kullun sune sojojin da yawa na soja, akwai ayyukan aikin soja da dama tare da ci gaban manyan sojojin Amurka zuwa Turai. Bayan 'yan makonni da suka gabata a Poland ma sun gudanar da ayyukan ayyukan ma'aikatan hunturu, a lokacin da yaƙin Nato na gaba tare da rukunin sojoji na Rasha da kuma gungun sojojin Rasha da Belarus an buga su kan kwamfutoci na yankuna.

"Amfani da waɗannan koyarwar da cewa Belt, wanda ya tashi da farko a Poland, suna motsa ƙarin abubuwan da sojojinsu a Poland da Nato," ya ce shugaban Beland. A matsayin martani, ana yin aikin haɗin gwiwa "West 2021" ana la'akari. Ya sanar da canji a manufar tsaron kasa ta kasar.

Fitar da ta'addanci

Bayanin shugaban ma'aikatar harkokin waje na Hodaya, wacce ta ba da shawarar cire tanadin a kan sha'awar tsattsauran ra'ayi daga Kundin Tsarin Mulki na gaba, ba mai ban sha'awa bane. Wannan a zahiri yana nufin kin ci gaba da ayyukan da yakamata ya zama babban Belarge a cikin yanayin gabashin Turai na Austria, Switzerland ko Finland. Ministan ya kuma yi imanin cewa a cikin yanayin zamani shi ne mai kyau a canza tsarin jigilar kayayyaki bisa ga ka'idodi na uku - Tarayyar Turai, bayan Tarayyar Turai, kasashen Tarayyar Turai, kasashen da Tarayyar Turai. A ra'ayinsa, ya zama dole don tattara rabin fitarwa a cikin kasuwannin Eaeu, da sauran rabin kashi daidai tsakanin EU da ƙasashen nesa da nisa. A lokaci guda, Makay yana ba da shawarar adana yawancin daidaito a matsayin ainihin tushen manufofin kasashen waje.

Na dabam, wajibi ne don juya zuwa ga jawabin mai kira, wanda a matsayin shugaban manyan ayyukan na musamman na kasar ya sanar da wanzuwar kungiyoyin 'yan ta'adda da aka yi niyyar gudanar da hannun jari a Belarus. Don haka, a nan gaba ana iya sa ran cewa za a fara sabon shari'o'i a kan masu zanga-zangar a kan wani zargin mai mahimmanci. Zai yuwu wannan aikin zai kwantar da ƙurar mutane a bazara na 2021 a lokaci guda, da alama ana amfani da wannan aikace-aikacen Telegram, wataƙila ana amfani da wannan aikace-aikacen azaman Masana'antar Info don inganta bayanan game da "bugun fansho" da kuma bukatar samar da ƙarin juriya.

Wasan kwaikwayon na wasu wakilai da kuma yanke shawara

Daga cikin jawabai na wasu wakilai, daukaka kara Yuri Vossensky ya jawo hankalin da ba a dace ba. Ya yi tsammanin ya ba da afuwa ga dukkanin fursunonin siyasa na siyasa. Koyaya, gaskiyar tuba, a fili, tana nufin buqatar shugaban tare da wata alama don afuwa, da ainihin dakatar da kowane irin ayyukan siyasa a kasar. Bugu da kari, an gabatar da shi don kiran daya daga cikin murabba'ai don girmama Rasha, ta haka ne ke nuna godiya ga matakan da 'yanci daga Belarus.

A sauran wakilan, wakilan ba fasikanci ne, kuma wajen da amintaccen halayyar da ke dangane da abin da aka riga aka ɗauka a kan abin da aka yanke shawara a kan wani jami'in da aka yanke tare da hukuma matsayi.

Wannan na iya zama babban haɗari ga Minsk, Ministan Maɗaukaki, saboda wannan na iya samun ra'ayi game da rashin mahimmancin matsayi a kan ɗaya ko wasu batutuwa, ko ba da izini a cikin al'umma game da goyon bayan manufar na yanzu. A wannan lokaci, da yawa zabuka, akasin haka, nuna wani rarrabuwar al'umma da polarization. Shaidar wannan na iya yin hidima, gami da cewa, bisa ga binciken ya ba da umarnin zuwa VNS, kasa da rabin yawan goyon bayan matsayin matsayin tsarin mulki.

Rashin tattaunawa mai zurfi da jayayya na iya aiwatar da sanyaya wa iko, amma ba nuna ainihin matsayin musamman matsala ga ƙungiyar Belarusian ba. Gabaɗaya, VNS cika aikin aikin kuma ya zama irin martani ga 'yan adawa a ƙasashen waje. Abin da ya sa, a fili, EU ta sami damar a hukumunci a hukumance cewa bai dauki wani taro a matsayin jikin hukuma ba kuma mafita kuma babu ƙarfi da halaka.

A gefe guda, ƙudurin ans ba wajibi ne don aiwatarwa ba, kuma haɗuwa da kanta bashi da matsayin tsarin mulki a wannan lokacin. Saboda haka, don tsammanin wasu canje-canje masu ban mamaki ga sakamakon sa da alama ba zai zama ma damuwa ba.

Denis Bonkin, mai binciken Cibiyar Kwalejin Kimiyya ta Kasa ta Belarus, Daraktan Jama'a "

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